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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Jul 7.
Published in final edited form as: Eur Respir J. 2010 Dec 9;38(1):176–183. doi: 10.1183/09031936.00114010

Table 3.

Longitudinal Hazard Ratios for Mortality by Absolute Increase in Composite Physiologic Index and Relative Decrease in Individual Pulmonary Function Tests over 6 and 12 months.

6 Month Change
n = 211
12 Month Change
n = 144
n (%) HR 95% CI p-value n (%) HR 95% CI p-value
Decline in FEV1
5% 81 (38) 1.6 1.1–2.3 0.018 72 (50) 2.3 1.4–3.7 <0.001
10% 44 (21) 1.6 1.0–2.4 0.051 42 (29) 2.2 1.3–3.5 0.002
15% 24 (11) 1.6 0.9–2.8 0.086 25 (17) 2.1 1.3–3.6 0.005
20% 8 (4) 1.4 0.6–3.5 0.473 9 (6) 3.6 1.6–8.1 0.001

Decline in FVC
5% 88 (42) 1.8 1.2–2.7 0.002 75 (52) 1.8 1.1–2.9 0.012
10% 51 (24) 1.4 0.9–2.1 0.122 51 (35) 2.4 1.5–3.8 <0.001
15% 28 (13) 1.1 0.6–1.8 0.857 26 (18) 2.6 1.6–4.5 <0.001
20% 12 (6) 2.0 1.0–4.0 0.051 15 (10) 3.6 1.9–6.9 <0.001

Decline in DLCO
10% 74 (35) 1.7 1.1–2.5 0.011 68 (47) 2.2 1.4–3.5 0.001
15% 51 (24) 1.6 1.1–2.5 0.029 57 (40) 2.3 1.5–3.7 <0.001
20% 33 (16) 1.8 1.1–3.0 0.030 37 (26) 3.0 1.8–4.9 <0.001
25% 20 (9) 2.3 1.2–4.2 0.010 26 (18) 3.5 2.0–6.1 <0.001

Increase in CPI
+5 51 (24) 1.7 1.1–2.7 0.019 63 (44) 2.1 1.3–3.5 0.004
+10 20 (9) 1.3 0.7–2.4 0.439 21 (15) 2.3 1.2–4.2 0.011
+15 4 (2) 2.0 0.6–6.6 0.240 9 (6) 3.3 1.4–7.7 0.007
+20 2 (1) 1.2 0.2–8.4 0.884 2 (1) 5.2 1.1–23.8 0.036

Definition of abbreviations: n = number of patients, HR = hazard ratio, CI = confidence interval, FEV1 = forced expiratory volume in 1 second, FVC = forced vital capacity, DLCO = diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide, CPI = composite physiologic index.