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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Pediatr Crit Care Med. 2014 Jul;15(6):554–562. doi: 10.1097/PCC.0000000000000150

Table 3.

Measures of discrimination, calibration, and overall fit for each Rotterdam score model

Model Adult versus Pediatric New Pediatric Final Model New Pediatric Model, Severe TBI only New Pediatric Model, Excluding NAT
Population characteristics GCS 3–12 GCS 3–12 GCS 3–8 GCS 3–12 No NAT
Prediction dataset Maas et al[14] Prediction Cohort Prediction Cohort Prediction Cohort
Prediction N 2,249 442 360 385
Validation dataset Entire PCH Cohort Validation Cohort Validation Cohort Validation Cohort
Validation N 632 190 144 167
AUC (95% CI) 0.85 (0.80 – 0.89) 0.80 (0.68 – 0.91) 0.81 (0.70 – 0.92) 0.92 (0.86 – 0.97)
Cox's calibration regression
 Intercept (95% CI) 1.08 (0.57 – 1.60) −0.43 (−1.10 – 0.24) −0.32 (−0.99 – 0.36) −0.24 (−1.07 – 0.60)
 Slope (95% CI) 1.81 (1.46 – 2.15) 0.86 (0.52 – 1.20) 0.87 (0.50 – 1.24) 1.08 (0.63 – 1.52)
 LRX2 (1) 165.6 31.2 28.3 43.0
p < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001
Brier's score 0.098 0.082 0.098 0.052
Figure 3 4

GCS = Glasgow Coma Scale; NAT = Non-accidental Trauma; PCH = Primary Children's Hospital; AUC = Area under the curve; CI = confidence interval; LR = likelihood ratio test