Table 2.
Dependence of antigenic diversity structure in the steady coexistence on the transmission rates. Other parameter values are immunity period = 3 years, transmission rate of single infections (β 1) = 1.0, and infectious period = 2 days; hence R 0 = 2.0 for single infection; ten indistinguishable strains (n = 10) are assumed to cocirculate while three models are considered in which the most complex coinfections are of multiplicity m = 2,3, 4 strains, respectively.
| m | β 2 | β 3 | β 4 | ϕ | p | p 1 | p 2 | p 3 | p 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 9.535 × 10−4 | 9.502 × 10−4 | 3.263 × 10−6 | 7.469 × 10−9 | 1.664 × 10−11 |
| 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 9.535 × 10−4 | 9.502 × 10−4 | 3.274 × 10−6 | 1.253 × 10−8 | 3.019 × 10−11 | ||
| 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.75 | 9.535 × 10−4 | 9.502 × 10−4 | 3.274 × 10−6 | 1.256 × 10−8 | 5.038 × 10−11 | ||
| 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0$ | 9.487 × 10−4 | 9.455 × 10−4 | 3.214 × 10−6 | 1.214 × 10−8 | 4.826 × 10−11 | ||
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.38 | 9.535 × 10−4 | 9.470 × 10−4 | 6.444 × 10−6 | 1.714 × 10−8 | 6.170 × 10−11 | |
| 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.38 | 9.536 × 10−4 | 9.470 × 10−4 | 6.529 × 10−6 | 4.349 × 10−8 | 1.328 × 10−10 | ||
| 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.38 | 9.536 × 10−4 | 9.470 × 10−4 | 6.534 × 10−6 | 4.369 × 10−8 | 2.218 × 10−10 | ||
| 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0$ | 9.487 × 10−4 | 9.423 × 10−4 | 6.386 × 10−6 | 4.209 × 10−8 | 2.117 × 10−10 | ||
|
| |||||||||
| 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0.75 | 9.535 × 10−4 | 9.502 × 10−4 | 3.263 × 10−6 | 7.478 × 10−9 | — |
| 0.4 | — | 0.75 | 9.535 × 10−4 | 9.502 × 10−4 | 3.274 × 10−6 | 1.249 × 10−8 | — | ||
| 0.4 | — | 0.0$ | 9.486 × 10−4 | 9.454 × 10−4 | 3.213 × 10−6 | 1.216 × 10−8 | — | ||
|
| |||||||||
| 2 | 0.5 | — | — | 0.75 | 9.535 × 10−4 | 9.502 × 10−4 | 3.256 × 10−6 | — | — |
| — | — | 0.0$ | 9.486 × 10−4 | 9.454 × 10−4 | 3.223 × 10−6 | — | — | ||
$These coexistence equilibria are unstable.