The 1-year incidence is constant at 238,350 cases per year. Prevalence is 588,600 annually in the adult Dutch population of 10 million people. |
Data obtained from the Netherlands Mental Health Survey and Incidence Study (NEMESIS), a population-based psychiatric epidemiological cohort study [15]. |
Prevalence determines the cost and effects. The ratio incidence/prevalence determines the relative importance of prevention. |
Episode duration is 6 months on average. |
After Spijker et al. [40] |
Taking episode duration into account affects health benefits. A shorter duration means less potential to generate health benefits. |
It is possible to have up to 5 recurring episodes of depression. After the fifth recurrence, a patient is assumed to be chronically depressed. Recurrence rates of depressive disorder are 50%, 70%, 80%, 85% and 90% for the first to the fifth episode. |
Relapse rates are higher after a previous depressive episode |
Increasing risk of recurrence results in patients making heavier demands on the health care system, which emphasizes the importance of preventing recurrence from a cost-effectiveness point of view. |
Effects are normally distributed. |
After Briggs et al. (2006) [35]. |
Uncertainty around the effect parameters is symmetrical |
Costs are gamma distributed. |
After Briggs et al. (2006) [35] |
Uncertainty around the cost parameters is skewed to the right. |
Costs include only direct medical costs (in this paper). |
Production losses are not relevant for retired people. Direct non-medical costs are only a fraction from direct medical costs. |
The model’s output is from the perspective of healthcare providers, not the patient, and not from parties such as employers. |
The willingness to pay (WTP) for averting 1 DALY is €20,000 ($23,755). |
WTP for averting 1 DALY can be as much as €80,000 ($95,020). A relative low number of €20,000 ($23,755) was chosen to be more conservative. |
A healthcare system is deemed cost-effective when the price per DALY averted is less than the WTP ceiling of €20,000 ($23,755). |
Effects of CBT are maintained over at least one year after treatment, but effects of pharmaceutical interventions decline almost instantly after discontinuation. |
Based on analysis after [22] |
Longer lasting prophylactic effects for CBT than for pharmaceutical interventions, amounts to in increased cost-effectiveness of CBT relative to anti-depressant medication. |
CBT offered during the acute stage of depression, introduces a prophylactic effect. |
Based on analysis after [22] |
The presence of a prophylactic effect makes it more desirable to treat acute cases of depression with CBT because it may help to avoid new onsets of the disorder in the future. |