Table 2. Parameters of the selected Bayesian models (M4) for both P. falciparum and P. vivax (sequentially as intercept β₀, EVI, TSI, Precipitation, random effects at (facility, district and province), temporal parameter and spatial CAR prior effect φ, SD is the Standard Deviation).

	Parameter	Mean	SD	5%	50%	95%
P. falciparum	Intercept (β0)	−3.630	0.387	−4.244	−3.633	−3.008
	EVI (β1)	−0.031	0.079	−0.162	−0.031	0.099
	TSI (β2)	0.164	0.127	−0.042	0.163	0.334
	Precipitation (β3)	0.008	0.051	−0.077	0.008	0.091
	Facility random effect (τ1)	1.940	1.903	0.192	1.380	5.534
	District random effect (τ2)	2.484	0.829	1.355	2.369	4.010
	Province random effect (τ3)	3.668	1.164	2.040	3.521	5.838
	Rho for the month (ρ)	0.849	0.117	0.617	0.881	0.969
	Spatial effect (φ)	5.492	4.535	0.698	2.376	20.970
P. vivax	Intercept (β0)	−2.065	0.240	−2.451	−2.069	−1.662
	EVI (β1)	−0.026	0.019	−0.058	−0.026	0.005
	TSI (β2)	0.124	0.048	0.046	0.124	0.202
	Precipitation (β3)	0.013	0.011	−0.005	0.013	0.031
	Facility random effect (τ1)	8.383	1.778	6.095	8.057	11.750
	District random effect (τ2)	2.081	1.976	0.181	1.500	5.888
	Province random effect (τ3)	7.972	3.953	3.897	6.922	15.530
	Rho for the month (ρ)	0.728	0.098	0.551	0.737	0.872
	Spatial effect (φ)	3.141	0.983	1.759	3.024	4.933

The betas represent the fixed effects of the covariates.