Table 3. Predicted mean malaria incidence per 1000 population for 2009 and estimated population at risk by Province for P. vivax and P. falciparum.
| Plasmodium vivax incidence per 1,000 population | Plasmodium falciparum incidence per 1,000 population | |||||||||||||||||
| Province | Estimated Pv Clinical burden | Mean incidence 2009 | sd | Percentage change Baseline (2006 and 2009 | <1 (%) | 1 -<5 (%) | 5 -<10 (%) | ≥10 (%) | Estimated Pf Clinical burden | Mean incidence 2009 | sd | Percentage change Baseline (2006 and 2009 | <1 (%) | 1 -<5 (%) | 5 -<10 (%) | Total Population | ||
| Kabul | 19,788 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.59 | 0 | 4,513,039 (98.1) | 72,584 (1.6) | 16222 (0.4) | 5,016 | 1.1 | 0.7 | -0.52 | 4,132,170 (89.8) | 425,758 (9.3) | 43,917 (1) | 4,601,845 | ||
| Kapisa | 2,497 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.59 | 0 | 215,825 (46.8) | 245,789 (53.2) | 0 | 268 | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.21 | 461,613 (100) | 0 | 0 | 461,613 | ||
| Logar | 1,988 | 4.4 | 1.1 | -2.01 | 0 | 308,882 (68.2) | 143,913 (31.8) | 0 | 317 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -5.99 | 425,918 (94.1) | 26,877 (5.9) | 0 | 452,795 | ||
| Panjshir | 777 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 | 123,418 (86.7) | 18879 (13.3) | 203 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.74 | 99,628 (70.0) | 23,790 (16.7) | 18,879 (13.3) | 142,298 | ||
| Parwan | 2,806 | 3.4 | 0.9 | -4.04 | 0 | 778,082 (93.2) | 57,015 (6.8) | 0 | 576 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -3.74 | 778,082 (93.2) | 57,015 (6.8) | 0 | 835,096 | ||
| Wardak | 2,439 | 3.8 | 1.1 | -1.13 | 0 | 515,633 (79.9) | 129,611 (20.1) | 0 | 400 | 0.6 | 0.5 | -3.68 | 573,533 (88.9) | 71,711 (11.1) | 0 | 645,244 | ||
| Bamyan | 2,172 | 4.3 | 1.3 | -4.79 | 0 | 465,596 (92.2) | 0 | 39633 (7.8) | 273 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -8.76 | 505,228 (100) | 0 | 0 | 505,228 | ||
| Day Kundi | 2,280 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.19 | 0 | 143,333 (26.2) | 403,394 (73.8) | 0 | 306 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.02 | 546,727 (100) | 0 | 0 | 546,727 | ||
| Kunar | 6,897 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 2.61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 517,421 (100) | 2,013 | 3.9 | 1.3 | -0.03 | 175,647 (33.9) | 182,013 (35.2) | 159,762 (30.9) | 517,421 | ||
| Laghman | 4,114 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 2.91 | 0 | 48,935 (9.7) | 456,482 (90.3) | 0 | 510 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.68 | 386,431 (76.5) | 118,986 (23.5) | 0 | 505,417 | ||
| Nangarhar | 23,043 | 13.3 | 0.9 | 5.48 | 0 | 0 | 733,865 (42.5) | 993,460 (57.5) | 6,391 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 3.94 | 0 | 1,453,897 (84.2) | 273,428 (15.8) | 1,727,324 | ||
| Nuristan | 1,043 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 3.20 | 0 | 35,830 (20.3) | 112,523 (63.6) | 28511 (16.1) | 108 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.67 | 176,863 (100) | 0 | 0 | 176,863 | ||
| Badakhshan | 6,895 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.59 | 0 | 247,984 (19.4) | 785,904 (61.5) | 243,005 (19) | 1,302 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.93 | 618,838 (48.5) | 658,054 (51.5) | 0 | 1,276,892 | ||
| Baghlan | 3,039 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 2.05 | 0 | 1,040,766 (100) | 0 | 0 | 385 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 5.79 | 1,040,766 (100) | 0 | 0 | 1,040,766 | ||
| Kunduz | 4,639 | 4.1 | 0.7 | -0.82 | 0 | 755,118 (66.4) | 381,799 (33.6) | 0 | 432 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.59 | 1,136,917 (100) | 0 | 0 | 1,136,917 | ||
| Takhar | 3,452 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.73 | 0 | 1,128,142 (100) | 0 | 0 | 463 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.65 | 1,128,142 (100) | 0 | 0 | 1,128,142 | ||
| Balkh | 4,091 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 10.56 | 408,202 (28.9) | 1,002,618 (71.1) | 0 | 0 | 818 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 15.39 | 1,410,820 (100) | 0 | 0 | 1,410,820 | ||
| Faryab | 5,209 | 4.8 | 1.3 | -0.05 | 0 | 498,575 (45.8) | 591,181 (54.2) | 0 | 708 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 971,677 (89.2) | 118,079 (10.8) | 0 | 1,089,756 | ||
| Jawzjan | 2,583 | 4.1 | 1.3 | -2.39 | 0 | 521,918 (83) | 106,563 (17) | 0 | 760 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8.69 | 255,757 (40.7) | 372,724 (59.3) | 0 | 628,480 | ||
| Samangan | 1,219 | 2.8 | 1.0 | -1.86 | 0 | 441,833 (100) | 0 | 0 | 239 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -4.16 | 441,833 (100) | 0 | 0 | 441,833 | ||
| Sari Pul | 2,548 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 3.69 | 0 | 604,485 (88.5) | 78,646 (11.5) | 0 | 266 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 20.25 | 683,132 (100) | 0 | 0 | 683,132 | ||
| Khost | 5,613 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 10.31 | 0 | 57,439 (8.7) | 343,942 (52.2) | 257,366 (39.1) | 1,719 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 17.70 | 13,623 (2.1) | 426,758 (64.8) | 218,366 (33.1) | 658,747 | ||
| Paktika | 3,037 | 6.0 | 1.9 | -4.60 | 0 | 25,624 (5.0) | 453,431 (89.1) | 29,674 (5.8) | 829 | 1.6 | 1.0 | -13.29 | 171,714 (33.8) | 216,884 (42.6) | 120,131 (23.6) | 508,729 | ||
| Paktya | 4,458 | 6.9 | 1.1 | -0.44 | 0 | 115,091 (17.8) | 432,258 (67) | 97,766 (15.2) | 387 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.12 | 645,114 (100) | 0 | 0 | 645,114 | ||
| Ghazni | 9,033 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 2.46 | 0 | 530,263 (36.7) | 739,121 (51.2) | 173,664 (12) | 2,165 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 16.31 | 321,390 (22.3) | 1,084,947 (75.2) | 36,711 (2.5) | 1,443,048 | ||
| Hilmand | 2,859 | 2.8 | 1.1 | -0.26 | 0 | 1,039,697 (100) | 0 | 0 | 1,071 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.90 | 930,158 (89.5) | 109,539 (10.5) | 0 | 1,039,697 | ||
| Kandahar | 5,644 | 4.1 | 1.2 | -0.08 | 0 | 1,161,551 (84.2) | 178,308 (12.9) | 40,003 (2.9) | 1,421 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -4.06 | 1,130,774 (81.9) | 249,088 (18.1) | 0 | 1,379,862 | ||
| Nimroz | 577 | 3.1 | 1.2 | -2.38 | 0 | 187,872 (100) | 0 | 0 | 178 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -7.58 | 86,898 (46.3) | 100,974 (53.7) | 0 | 187,872 | ||
| Uruzgan | 1,601 | 4.0 | 1.1 | -0.88 | 0 | 306,799 (75.9) | 97,595 (24.1) | 0 | 311 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.87 | 332,451 (82.2) | 71,944 (17.8) | 0 | 404,395 | ||
| Zabul | 2,621 | 7.5 | 1.6 | -6.88 | 0 | 20,586 (5.9) | 144,845 (41.3) | 185,415 (52.8) | 379 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -9.01 | 149,910 (42.7) | 200,936 (57.3) | 0 | 350,846 | ||
| Badghis | 2,257 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.92 | 0 | 534,183 (96.8) | 17,642 (3.2) | 0 | 353 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 7.60 | 551,825 (100) | 0 | 0 | 551,825 | ||
| Farah | 1,459 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -3.19 | 0 | 581,449 (100) | 0 | 0 | 494 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.59 | 484,949 (83.4) | 96,500 (16.6) | 0 | 581,449 | ||
| Ghor | 3,141 | 4.1 | 1.4 | -1.07 | 0 | 468,809 (60.9) | 300,924 (39.1) | 0 | 708 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.08 | 459,819 (59.7) | 309,915 (40.3) | 0 | 769,733 | ||
| Hirat | 7,532 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 16.37 | 0 | 2,098,175 (100) | 0 | 0 | 1,133 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 23.14 | 209,8175 (100) | 0 | 0 | 2,098,175 | ||
| 165,712 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 1.62 | 408,202 (1.3) | 20,394,129 (66.7) | 7,130,753 (23.3) | 2,641,017 (8.6) | 36,077 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.26 | 23,326,522 (76.3) | 6,376,386 (20.9) | 871,194 (2.8) | 30,574,102 | |||
SD: Standard Deviation.