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. 2014 Jul 18;4:5746. doi: 10.1038/srep05746

Table 1. (Top half) The number of animals infected under these temperature scenarios and (bottom half) the percentage of introductions that result in more than 10 infected animals (5 introductions and 5 subsequent infections) during one completed vector season given introductions on different days.

Temperature Mean number of animals infected given date of introduction
16th May 31st May 15th June 30th June 15th July 30th July  
Mean temp 5.02 384,668 839,439 485,762 5,829 805
Mean temp +0.5°C 58,490 2,404,203 3,274,581 1,906,485 95,896 5,393
Mean temp +1°C 1,234,702 5,335,513 5,891,231 4,741,308 557,263 31,123
Mean temp +2°C 7,034,805 8,011,970 7,938,294 7,449,821 4,974,377 1,473,589
2012 5 1,088 47,970 49,541 2,892 506
2013 5.02 2,164,895 5,210,915 3,827,855 139,002 4,422