Table 3.
Multivariate logistic regressions predicting heavy episodic drinking (HED) associated with general and alcohol-specific cumulative risk factors in adolescence (ages 10–18), odds ratio, and 95% confidence interval
| Variable | Age 21 |
Age 33 |
||||||
| Family | Peer | School | Full model | Family | Peer | School | Full model | |
| Family | ||||||||
| General | 0.89 [0.78, 1.01] | 0.88 [0.76, 1.02] | 1.19 [1.02, 1.39] | 1.22 [1.03, 1.44] | ||||
| Alcohol specific | 1.54 [1.30, 1.82] | 1.45 [1.22, 1.72] | 1.13 [0.92, 1.38] | 1.16 [0.94, 1.43] | ||||
| Peer | ||||||||
| General | 0.88 [0.69, 1.11] | 0.92 [0.72, 1.18] | 1.05 [0.81, 1.36] | 0.95 [0.72, 1.25] | ||||
| Alcohol specific | 2.71 [1.80, 4.10] | 2.37 [1.53, 3.65] | 0.80 [0.48, 1.31] | 0.67 [0.40, 1.12] | ||||
| School | ||||||||
| General | 0.96 [0.83, 1.10] | 0.97 [0.83, 1.14] | 1.03 [0.88, 1.22] | 0.97 [0.81, 1.16] | ||||
| Alcohol specific | 1.15 [0.78, 1.71] | 0.93 [0.61, 1.43] | 1.37 [0.86, 2.16] | 1.46 [0.90, 2.37] | ||||
| Early alcohol use (ages 10–11) | 1.01 [0.79, 1.29] | 0.96 [0.75, 1.22] | 1.05 [0.83, 1.33] | 0.95 [0.74, 1.22] | 0.95 [0.72, 1.25] | 1.02 [0.77, 1.35] | 0.99 [0.75, 1.30] | 0.98 [0.73, 1.30] |
| Behavior disinhibition (age 14) | 1.22 [1.03, 1.45] | 1.11 [0.93, 1.34] | 1.26 [1.06, 1.50] | 1.12 [0.92, 1.35] | 1.08 [0.90, 1.31] | 1.17 [0.95, 1.44] | 1.09 [0.89, 1.33] | 1.12 [0.90, 1.39] |
| Gender (Male =1) | 2.51 [1.80, 3.48] | 2.74 [1.96, 3.82] | 2.47 [1.78, 3.42] | 2.76 [1.95, 3.92] | 3.64 [2.42, 5.46] | 3.47 [2.30, 5.23] | 3.81 [2.51, 5.77] | 3.78 [2.46, 5.79] |
| HED (age 21) | 2.91 [1.98, 4.28] | 3.01 [2.06, 4.41] | 2.94 [2.02, 4.28] | 3.06 [2.06, 4.54] | ||||
Notes: Coefficients in bold are significant at p < .05; coefficients in italics are marginally significant at p < .10.