Table 4.
Multivariate logistic regressions predicting alcohol use disorder (AUD) associated with general and alcohol-specific cumulative risk factors in adolescence (ages 10–18), odds ratio, and 95% confidence interval
| Variable | Age 21 |
Age 33 |
||||||
| Family | Peer | School | Full model | Family | Peer | School | Full model | |
| Family | ||||||||
| General | 1.05 [0.92, 1.20] | 0.98 [0.84, 1.14] | 1.27 [1.07, 1.50] | 1.17 [0.97, 1.41] | ||||
| Alcohol specific | 1.30 [1.10, 1.54] | 1.20 [1.01, 1.44] | 1.25 [0.99, 1.58] | 1.20 [0.94, 1.53] | ||||
| Peer | ||||||||
| General | 1.43 [1.13, 1.82] | 1.43 [1.12, 1.84] | 1.28 [0.95, 1.73] | 1.11 [0.81, 1.52] | ||||
| Alcohol specific | 2.12 [1.38, 3.26] | 1.94 [1.24, 3.05] | 1.63 [0.94, 2.80] | 1.29 [0.72, 2.33] | ||||
| School | ||||||||
| General | 1.10 [0.95, 1.27] | 1.04 [0.88, 1.22] | 1.24 [1.04, 1.49] | 1.14 [0.94, 1.39] | ||||
| Alcohol specific | 1.28 [0.85, 1.93] | 0.94 [0.61, 1.46] | 1.74 [1.05, 2.88] | 1.53 [0.90, 2.60] | ||||
| Early alcohol use (ages 10–11) | 0.90 [0.69, 1.16] | 0.84 [0.65, 1.09] | 0.93 [0.72, 1.19] | 0.83 [0.64, 1.08] | 0.63 [0.42, 0.96] | 0.65 [0.43, 0.97] | 0.68 [0.46, 1.0] | 0.61 [0.40, 0.93] |
| Behavior disinhibition (age 14) | 1.29 [1.10, 1.53] | 1.08 [0.90, 1.31] | 1.28 [1.07, 1.52] | 1.07 [0.88, 1.30] | 1.23 [0.99, 1.53] | 1.16 [0.92, 1.46] | 1.17 [0.93, 1.46] | 1.06 [0.83, 1.36] |
| Gender (male =1) | 2.43 [1.72, 3.43] | 2.50 [1.75, 3.57] | 2.49 [1.76, 3.54] | 2.46 [1.71, 3.55] | 1.91 [1.21, 3.01] | 1.92 [1.20, 3.06] | 2.07 [1.30, 3.32] | 2.10 [1.29, 3.42] |
| AUD (age 21) | 2.59 [1.63, 4.11] | 2.39 [1.50, 3.83] | 2.63 [1.66, 4.17] | 2.40 [1.49, 3.86] | ||||
Notes: Coefficients in bold are significant at p < .05; coefficients in italics are marginally significant at p < .10.