Table 5.
Results of averaged post-transplant and wait-list outcomes of 10 simulations of current and new policies for allocating deceased donor kidneysa
| Outcome | Simulated Current | Simulated New |
|---|---|---|
| Number of candidates on the waiting listb | 122,669 | 122,669 |
| Number of primary transplant recipients (min, max) | 11,531 (11,463–11,586) | 11,599 (11,538–11,681) |
| Median lifespan posttransplant (min, max) | 11.82 (11.75–11.85) | 12.65 (12.61–12.71) |
| Median allograft-years of life (min, max) | 8.82 (8.80–8.84) | 9.07 (9.05–9.08) |
| Median extra life-years for transplant versus waiting list candidates (min, max) | 5.01 (4.99–5.03) | 5.24 (5.22–5.27) |
| Number of deaths on the waiting list by age in years (min, max)c | ||
| <18 | 9 (7–11) | 8 (7–9) |
| 18–34 | 223 (218–226) | 221 (213–230) |
| 35–49 | 927 (921–932) | 926 (921–933) |
| 50–64 | 2353 (2342–2374) | 2367 (2357–2379) |
| ≥65 | 1330 (1318–1337) | 1338 (1326–1349) |
Values are given as the mean and median (minimum and maximum).
a
The total number of candidates on the waiting list on the first day or added during the year was 122,669 (in both simulations).
b
Includes candidates added to the waiting list during 2010.
c
The actual number of deaths on the waiting list in 2010 was 5444 (n=12, age<18 years; n=220, age 18–34 years; n=952, age 35–49 years; n=2762, age 50–64 years; and n=1498, age≥65 years).