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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Popul Dev Rev. 2014 Jun 14;40(2):331–360. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2014.00676.x

Table 1.

Selected studies using biomarkers from multiple systems to predict all-cause mortalitya

Study;
Dataset;
Country
Sample Size/Ages;
Number Deaths;
Mean follow up/
End of observation
Biomarkers Included Control
Variables
AUC
(Controls
Only)
AUC gain
(Add
Biomarkers)
Cardiovacular/
Metabolic
Inflammatory Neuro-endocrine Other
Studies Using Individual Biomarkers Representing Multiple Systems
Rosero-Bixby & Dow (2012);
CRELES;
Costa Rica
n=2313 aged 60+;
n=564 deaths;
5 years ending
2010
SBP
DBP
TC
HDL
Ratio TC/HDL
LDL
TG
HbA1c
GLU
Waist
BMI
WHR
Knee height
CRP DHEAS
U. CORT
U. EPI
U. NE
CrCl
Grip strength
Walking
  speed
PEF
Sex
Age
Region
Disability
Cancer
Involuntary weight
  loss
Smoker
SAH
0.72 0.06
Haring et al. (2011);
Study of
Health in
Pomerania;
Germany
n=4261 aged 20–79;
n=456 deaths;
9.7 years ending
12/15/2009
HbA1c Fbg U. Albumin
GGT
Age
Sex
Cohabitation
Education
Occupation
Income
Smoking
Alcohol use
Physical activity
Diet
SAH
Perceived QoL
Hx of:
  Hypertension
  MI
  Stroke
  Diabetes
Waist
0.88 0.004
Goldman et al. (2009);
SEBAS 2000;
Taiwan
n=933 aged 54+;
n=162 deaths;
6 years ending
12/31/2006
Hypertension
TC
HDL
BMI
Waist
HbA1c
WBC
% NEUT
IL-6
DHEAS
U. CORT
U. EPI
U. NE
CrCl
Albumin
IGF-1
Age
Sex
Mainlander
Urban
Education
Smoking
# Current chronic
  conditions
Mobility
Cognitive function
CES-D
SAH
Use of:
  BP meds
  Diabetic meds
0.79 0.06
Goldman et al. (2006b);
SEBAS 2000;
Taiwan
n=927 aged 54+;
n=61 deaths;
3 years ending
in 2003
SBP
DBP
TC
Ratio TC/HDL
HbA1c
BMI
IL-6 DHEAS
U. CORT
U. EPI
U. NE
U. DOP
IGF-1 Age
Sex
Urban
Smoking
# Current chronic
  conditions
Mobility
  limitations
Cognitive function
CES-D
SAH
Pain level
0.79 0.08
Stork et al. (2006);
Zoetermeer, Netherlands
n=403 men aged 70+;
n=75 deaths;
4 years ending
in 2000
Included in
"Controls"
CRP
IL-6
# Carotid plaques Age
SBP
Pulse
Smoking
Use of:
  BP meds
  Diabetic meds
Hx of MI
BMI
0.62 0.15
Newson et al. (2010);
Rotterdam Study;
Netherlands
n=2008 aged 55–85;
n=639 deaths
before 85th birthday;
7.9 years ending
1/1/2007
DBP CRP Albumin
Uric acid
Femoral
  neck bone
  mineral
  density
Ankle
  brachial
  index
# carotid
  plaques
Age
Sex
Smoking
Left ventricular
  function
SAH
Cognitive status
Any IADL
  limitations
Body weight
  stable past year
0.75 N/A
Studies Using Multi-System Biomarker Summary Scores
Borrell et al. (2010);
NHANES III;
U.S.
n=13,715 aged 25+;
n=2491 deaths;
8.7 years ending
12/31/2000
SBP
DBP
Pulse
TC
HDL
HbA1c
WHR
CRP Albumin Age
Sex
Race/Ethnicity
Education
Income
N/A N/A
Crimmins et al. (2009);
NHANES III;
U.S.
n=14,443 aged 20+;
n=2134 deaths;
8.3 years ending
12/31/2000
SBP
DBP
Pulse
TC
HDL
HbA1c
BMI
CRP Albumin Age
Sex
Race
Poor
Smoking
Heavy Drinking
Exercise
BMI
N/A N/A
Goldman et al. (2006a);
SEBAS 2000;
Taiwan
n=935 aged 54+;
n=72 deaths;
3 years ending
in 2004
SBP
DBP
TC
Ratio TC/HDL
TG
GLU
HbA1c
BMI
WHR
IL-6 IGF-1 Age
Sex
Urban
# Chronic
  conditions
Mobility
CES-D
Cognitive function
Smoking
N/A N/A
Gruenewald et al. (2006);
MacArthur Study of Successful Aging;
U.S.
n=1189 aged 70–79;
n=492 deaths;
12 years ending
in 2000
SBP
DBP
HDL
Ratio TC/HDLHbA1c
IL-6
CRP
Fbg
DHEA
U. CORT
U. EPI
U. NE
Albumin Modeled
separately by sex
N/A N/A
Karlamangla et al. (2006);
MacArthur Study of Successful Aging;
U.S.
n=171 aged 70–79;
n=19 deaths;
4.5 years ending
in 1995
SBP
DBP
TC
HDL
HbA1c
WHR
DHEAS
U. CORT
U. EPI
U. NE
Age N/A N/A
Wang et al. (2006);
Framingham Heart Study;
U.S.
n=3209 mean age 59;
n=207 deaths;
7.4 years (date follow up ended is not stated)
CRP B-type
  natriuretic
  peptide
Renin
Hcy
UACR
Age
Sex
Smoking
Hypertension
TC
HDL
Diabetes
BMI
SCr
Presence of CVD
0.80 0.02
Seeman et al. (2004);
MacArthur
Study of
Successful

U.S.
n=657 aged 70–79;
n=141 deaths;
7.5 years ending
12/31/1995
SBP
DBP
HDL
Ratio TC/HDL
HbA1c
WHR
IL-6
CRP
Fbg
DHEAS
U. CORT
U. EPI
U. NE
Albumin
CrCl
PEF
Age
Sex
Race
Education
# Chronic
  conditions
N/A N/A
Seeman et al. (2001)
MacArthur
Study of
Successful
Aging;
U.S.
n=720 aged 70–79;
n=153 deaths;
7 years ending
in 1997
SBP
DBP
HDL
Ratio TC/HDL
HbA1c
WHR
DHEAS
U. CORT
U. EPI
U. NE
Age
Sex
Ethnicity
Education
Income
Hx of chronic
  conditions (MI,
stroke, diabetes,
hypertension,
cancer, hip
fracture, other
broken bones)
N/A N/A
Levine et al. (2013);
NHANES III;
U.S.
n=9389 aged 30–75;
n=1843 deaths;
18 years ending
12/31/2006
SBP
TC
HbA1c
CRP
CMV optical density
SCr
Albumin
S. ALP
FEV
SUN
Age
Sex
0.83
N/A

Abbreviations: BMI = body mass index; BP = blood pressure; CES-D = Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale; CMV = cytomegalovirus; CrCl = creatinine clearance; CRP = c-reactive protein; DBP = diastolic blood pressue; DHEA = dehydroepiandrosterone; DHEAS = dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate; Fbg = fibrinogen; FEV = forced expiratory volume; GGT = gamma glutamyltransferase; GLU = fasting glucose; HbA1c = glycosylated hemoglobin; Hcy = homocysteine; HDL = high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; Hx = history; IADL = instrumental activities of daily living; IGF-1 = insulin-like growth factor 1; MI = myocardial infarction; NEUT = neutrophils; PEF = peak expiratory flow; QoL = quality of life; SAH = self-assessed health status; S. ALP = serum alkaline phosphatase; SBP = systolic blood pressure; SCr = serum creatinine; SUN = serum urea nitrogen; TC = total cholesterol; TG = triglycerides; UACR = urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio U. CORT = urinary cortisol; U. EPI = urinary epinephrine; U. NE = urinary norepinephrine; WHR = waist-hip ratio.

a

For studies of individual biomarkers, we list in this table only those that: 1) included at least one standard cardiovascular/metabolic markers (e.g., blood pressure, lipids, measures of glucose metabolism, and obesity) as well as at least one inflammatory marker (e.g., interleukin-6, IL-6; C-reactive protein, CRP); and 2) assessed the discriminatory ability of the set of biomarkers. For studies using a multi-marker summary score, we included all studies that used a summary score based on markers from multiple systems to predict all-cause mortality.