Table 1.
Study; Dataset; Country |
Sample Size/Ages; Number Deaths; Mean follow up/ End of observation |
Biomarkers Included | Control Variables |
AUC (Controls Only) |
AUC
gain (Add Biomarkers) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cardiovacular/ Metabolic |
Inflammatory | Neuro-endocrine | Other | |||||
Studies Using Individual Biomarkers Representing Multiple Systems | ||||||||
Rosero-Bixby
& Dow (2012); CRELES; Costa Rica |
n=2313 aged
60+; n=564 deaths; 5 years ending 2010 |
SBP DBP TC HDL Ratio TC/HDL LDL TG HbA1c GLU Waist BMI WHR Knee height |
CRP | DHEAS U. CORT U. EPI U. NE |
CrCl Grip strength Walking speed PEF |
Sex Age Region Disability Cancer Involuntary weight loss Smoker SAH |
0.72 | 0.06 |
Haring et al.
(2011); Study of Health in Pomerania; Germany |
n=4261 aged
20–79; n=456 deaths; 9.7 years ending 12/15/2009 |
HbA1c | Fbg | U. Albumin GGT |
Age Sex Cohabitation Education Occupation Income Smoking Alcohol use Physical activity Diet SAH Perceived QoL Hx of: Hypertension MI Stroke Diabetes Waist |
0.88 | 0.004 | |
Goldman et al.
(2009); SEBAS 2000; Taiwan |
n=933 aged
54+; n=162 deaths; 6 years ending 12/31/2006 |
Hypertension TC HDL BMI Waist HbA1c |
WBC % NEUT IL-6 |
DHEAS U. CORT U. EPI U. NE |
CrCl Albumin IGF-1 |
Age Sex Mainlander Urban Education Smoking # Current chronic conditions Mobility Cognitive function CES-D SAH Use of: BP meds Diabetic meds |
0.79 | 0.06 |
Goldman et al.
(2006b); SEBAS 2000; Taiwan |
n=927 aged
54+; n=61 deaths; 3 years ending in 2003 |
SBP DBP TC Ratio TC/HDL HbA1c BMI |
IL-6 | DHEAS U. CORT U. EPI U. NE U. DOP |
IGF-1 | Age Sex Urban Smoking # Current chronic conditions Mobility limitations Cognitive function CES-D SAH Pain level |
0.79 | 0.08 |
Stork et al.
(2006); Zoetermeer, Netherlands |
n=403 men aged
70+; n=75 deaths; 4 years ending in 2000 |
Included
in "Controls" |
CRP IL-6 |
# Carotid plaques | Age SBP Pulse Smoking Use of: BP meds Diabetic meds Hx of MI BMI |
0.62 | 0.15 | |
Newson et al.
(2010); Rotterdam Study; Netherlands |
n=2008 aged
55–85; n=639 deaths before 85th birthday; 7.9 years ending 1/1/2007 |
DBP | CRP | Albumin Uric acid Femoral neck bone mineral density Ankle brachial index # carotid plaques |
Age Sex Smoking Left ventricular function SAH Cognitive status Any IADL limitations Body weight stable past year |
0.75 | N/A | |
Studies Using Multi-System Biomarker Summary Scores | ||||||||
Borrell et al.
(2010); NHANES III; U.S. |
n=13,715 aged
25+; n=2491 deaths; 8.7 years ending 12/31/2000 |
SBP DBP Pulse TC HDL HbA1c WHR |
CRP | Albumin | Age Sex Race/Ethnicity Education Income |
N/A | N/A | |
Crimmins et
al. (2009); NHANES III; U.S. |
n=14,443 aged
20+; n=2134 deaths; 8.3 years ending 12/31/2000 |
SBP DBP Pulse TC HDL HbA1c BMI |
CRP | Albumin | Age Sex Race Poor Smoking Heavy Drinking Exercise BMI |
N/A | N/A | |
Goldman et al.
(2006a); SEBAS 2000; Taiwan |
n=935 aged
54+; n=72 deaths; 3 years ending in 2004 |
SBP DBP TC Ratio TC/HDL TG GLU HbA1c BMI WHR |
IL-6 | IGF-1 | Age Sex Urban # Chronic conditions Mobility CES-D Cognitive function Smoking |
N/A | N/A | |
Gruenewald et
al. (2006); MacArthur Study of Successful Aging; U.S. |
n=1189 aged
70–79; n=492 deaths; 12 years ending in 2000 |
SBP DBP HDL Ratio TC/HDLHbA1c |
IL-6 CRP Fbg |
DHEA U. CORT U. EPI U. NE |
Albumin | Modeled separately by sex |
N/A | N/A |
Karlamangla et
al. (2006); MacArthur Study of Successful Aging; U.S. |
n=171 aged
70–79; n=19 deaths; 4.5 years ending in 1995 |
SBP DBP TC HDL HbA1c WHR |
DHEAS U. CORT U. EPI U. NE |
Age | N/A | N/A | ||
Wang et al.
(2006); Framingham Heart Study; U.S. |
n=3209 mean age
59; n=207 deaths; 7.4 years (date follow up ended is not stated) |
CRP | B-type natriuretic peptide Renin Hcy UACR |
Age Sex Smoking Hypertension TC HDL Diabetes BMI SCr Presence of CVD |
0.80 | 0.02 | ||
Seeman et al.
(2004); MacArthur Study of Successful U.S. |
n=657 aged
70–79; n=141 deaths; 7.5 years ending 12/31/1995 |
SBP DBP HDL Ratio TC/HDL HbA1c WHR |
IL-6 CRP Fbg |
DHEAS U. CORT U. EPI U. NE |
Albumin CrCl PEF |
Age Sex Race Education # Chronic conditions |
N/A | N/A |
Seeman et al.
(2001) MacArthur Study of Successful Aging; U.S. |
n=720 aged
70–79; n=153 deaths; 7 years ending in 1997 |
SBP DBP HDL Ratio TC/HDL HbA1c WHR |
DHEAS U. CORT U. EPI U. NE |
Age Sex Ethnicity Education Income Hx of chronic conditions (MI, stroke, diabetes, hypertension, cancer, hip fracture, other broken bones) |
N/A | N/A | ||
Levine et al.
(2013); NHANES III; U.S. |
n=9389 aged
30–75; n=1843 deaths; 18 years ending 12/31/2006 |
SBP TC HbA1c |
CRP CMV optical density |
SCr Albumin S. ALP FEV SUN |
Age Sex |
0.83 |
N/A |
Abbreviations: BMI = body mass index; BP = blood pressure; CES-D = Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale; CMV = cytomegalovirus; CrCl = creatinine clearance; CRP = c-reactive protein; DBP = diastolic blood pressue; DHEA = dehydroepiandrosterone; DHEAS = dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate; Fbg = fibrinogen; FEV = forced expiratory volume; GGT = gamma glutamyltransferase; GLU = fasting glucose; HbA1c = glycosylated hemoglobin; Hcy = homocysteine; HDL = high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; Hx = history; IADL = instrumental activities of daily living; IGF-1 = insulin-like growth factor 1; MI = myocardial infarction; NEUT = neutrophils; PEF = peak expiratory flow; QoL = quality of life; SAH = self-assessed health status; S. ALP = serum alkaline phosphatase; SBP = systolic blood pressure; SCr = serum creatinine; SUN = serum urea nitrogen; TC = total cholesterol; TG = triglycerides; UACR = urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio U. CORT = urinary cortisol; U. EPI = urinary epinephrine; U. NE = urinary norepinephrine; WHR = waist-hip ratio.
For studies of individual biomarkers, we list in this table only those that: 1) included at least one standard cardiovascular/metabolic markers (e.g., blood pressure, lipids, measures of glucose metabolism, and obesity) as well as at least one inflammatory marker (e.g., interleukin-6, IL-6; C-reactive protein, CRP); and 2) assessed the discriminatory ability of the set of biomarkers. For studies using a multi-marker summary score, we included all studies that used a summary score based on markers from multiple systems to predict all-cause mortality.