Table 1. Estimated number of cases involved on the 20th day of this outbreak under the quarantine and isolation of different proportional students from different grades on the first day, second day, third day, fourth day and fifth day of the outbreak, assuming the outbreak was initiated by different student grades respectively.
Estimated number of cases | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First case | Population intervened | Proportion intervened | Onset date of intervention: | First day | Second day | Third day | Fourth day | Fifth day |
Freshman | Freshmen | 25% | 845 | 981 | 1025 | 1090 | 1136 | |
Sophomore | 25% | 1903 | 1916 | 1931 | 1942 | 1992 | ||
Juniors | 25% | 1942 | 1946 | 1959 | 1970 | 2017 | ||
Seniors | 25% | 1966 | 1971 | 1976 | 1982 | 2026 | ||
Freshmen | 50% | 609 | 744 | 791 | 868 | 922 | ||
Sophomore | 50% | 1842 | 1856 | 1870 | 1882 | 1929 | ||
Juniors | 50% | 1903 | 1909 | 1923 | 1934 | 1981 | ||
Seniors | 50% | 1929 | 1939 | 1949 | 1958 | 2001 | ||
Freshmen | 75% | 366 | 498 | 549 | 637 | 701 | ||
Sophomore | 75% | 1776 | 1790 | 1804 | 1815 | 1861 | ||
Juniors | 75% | 1861 | 1868 | 1886 | 1894 | 1943 | ||
Seniors | 75% | 1910 | 1921 | 1927 | 1932 | 1976 | ||
Sophomore | Freshmen | 25% | 988 | 1011 | 1045 | 1109 | 1156 | |
Sophomore | 25% | 549 | 749 | 815 | 916 | 939 | ||
Juniors | 25% | 1211 | 1218 | 1229 | 1280 | 1282 | ||
Seniors | 25% | 1221 | 1227 | 1250 | 1282 | 1283 | ||
Freshmen | 50% | 880 | 899 | 927 | 978 | 1020 | ||
Sophomore | 50% | 469 | 680 | 751 | 860 | 988 | ||
Juniors | 50% | 1200 | 1217 | 1221 | 1278 | 1280 | ||
Seniors | 50% | 1220 | 1221 | 1247 | 1280 | 1282 | ||
Freshmen | 75% | 763 | 777 | 796 | 833 | 846 | ||
Sophomore | 75% | 388 | 612 | 687 | 805 | 858 | ||
Juniors | 75% | 1191 | 1215 | 1218 | 1276 | 1279 | ||
Seniors | 75% | 1214 | 1220 | 1244 | 1278 | 1280 | ||
Junior | Freshmen | 25% | 818 | 869 | 912 | 957 | 982 | |
Sophomore | 25% | 1018 | 1025 | 1060 | 1102 | 1107 | ||
Juniors | 25% | 488 | 718 | 786 | 856 | 1101 | ||
Seniors | 25% | 1075 | 1076 | 1089 | 1126 | 1129 | ||
Freshmen | 50% | 722 | 765 | 802 | 829 | 865 | ||
Sophomore | 50% | 994 | 1003 | 1043 | 1089 | 1093 | ||
Juniors | 50% | 440 | 679 | 752 | 836 | 881 | ||
Seniors | 50% | 1071 | 1075 | 1088 | 1125 | 1127 | ||
Freshmen | 75% | 619 | 653 | 680 | 702 | 739 | ||
Sophomore | 75% | 970 | 981 | 1026 | 1075 | 1080 | ||
Juniors | 75% | 394 | 641 | 721 | 804 | 842 | ||
Seniors | 75% | 1069 | 1074 | 1086 | 1121 | 1124 | ||
Senior | Freshmen | 25% | 810 | 826 | 858 | 863 | 883 | |
Sophomore | 25% | 985 | 1003 | 1005 | 1021 | 1081 | ||
Juniors | 25% | 1025 | 1031 | 1032 | 1046 | 1101 | ||
Seniors | 25% | 483 | 636 | 771 | 874 | 981 | ||
Freshmen | 50% | 715 | 726 | 752 | 789 | 856 | ||
Sophomore | 50% | 961 | 981 | 988 | 1009 | 1066 | ||
Juniors | 50% | 1019 | 1029 | 1031 | 1044 | 1100 | ||
Seniors | 50% | 437 | 595 | 743 | 802 | 861 | ||
Freshmen | 75% | 612 | 617 | 636 | 673 | 722 | ||
Sophomore | 75% | 937 | 958 | 971 | 997 | 1052 | ||
Juniors | 75% | 1015 | 1028 | 1030 | 1040 | 1099 | ||
Seniors | 75% | 391 | 556 | 718 | 780 | 837 |