Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA Psychiatry. 2014 May;71(5):493–503. doi: 10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2013.4417

Table 4.

Simulated Effect of Changes in Regular Army Composition on Suicide Rates

Variable 2004–2005 2006–2007 2008–2009
Actual Suicide Death Rate
Rate per 100 000 person-years of active duty Regular Army service   12.1   18.1   24.5
No. 120 182 267
Predicted Suicide Death Rate Based on 2004–2005 Army Entry Characteristicsa
Simulated rate per 100 000 person-years of active duty Regular Army service   NA   17.4   23.2
Simulated No.   NA 175 253
Change vs actual, %   NA   −3.9   −5.1
Predicted Suicide Death Rate Based on 2004–2005 Army Entry and Experience Characteristicsb
Simulated rate per 100 000 person-years of active duty Regular Army service   NA   16.9   23.5
Simulated No.   NA 170 256
Change vs actual, %   NA   −6.7   −4.0

Abbreviations: AFQT, Armed Forces Qualification Test; NA, not applicable.

a

Includes sex, age at Army entry, marital status, race/ethnicity, religion, education, accession waiver status, and AFQT category (based on Table 2 except for age at Army entry).

b

Includes sex, current age, marital status, race/ethnicity, religion, education, accession waiver status, AFQT category, current rank, recent demotions, length of Army service, and deployment category (based on Table 2).

HHS Vulnerability Disclosure