Table 4.
Simulated Effect of Changes in Regular Army Composition on Suicide Rates
Variable | 2004–2005 | 2006–2007 | 2008–2009 |
---|---|---|---|
Actual Suicide Death Rate | |||
Rate per 100 000 person-years of active duty Regular Army service | 12.1 | 18.1 | 24.5 |
No. | 120 | 182 | 267 |
Predicted Suicide Death Rate Based on 2004–2005 Army Entry Characteristicsa | |||
Simulated rate per 100 000 person-years of active duty Regular Army service | NA | 17.4 | 23.2 |
Simulated No. | NA | 175 | 253 |
Change vs actual, % | NA | −3.9 | −5.1 |
Predicted Suicide Death Rate Based on 2004–2005 Army Entry and Experience Characteristicsb | |||
Simulated rate per 100 000 person-years of active duty Regular Army service | NA | 16.9 | 23.5 |
Simulated No. | NA | 170 | 256 |
Change vs actual, % | NA | −6.7 | −4.0 |
Abbreviations: AFQT, Armed Forces Qualification Test; NA, not applicable.
Includes sex, age at Army entry, marital status, race/ethnicity, religion, education, accession waiver status, and AFQT category (based on Table 2 except for age at Army entry).
Includes sex, current age, marital status, race/ethnicity, religion, education, accession waiver status, AFQT category, current rank, recent demotions, length of Army service, and deployment category (based on Table 2).