Table 2.
Mean estimated T s and R 0 , from 100 stochastic realisations using an rt-PCR test
| Day of entry | R 010 | R 07 | R 05 | R 03 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | -0.2 (-1.7, 1.2) | -0.6 (- 7.8, 1.8) | -0.8 (-2.8, 1.5) | -0.3 (-1.4, 0.5) |
| 10.5 (9.6, 12.0) | 7.2 (6.9, 7.8) | 5.0 (4.9, 5.8) | 3.0 (2.9, 3.1) | |
| 7 | 7.1 (5.9, 8.5) | 7.1 (5.8, 8.8) | 7.0 (6.1, 7.8) | 6.8 (5.6, 8.1) |
| 10.5 (9.0, 12.0) | 6.9 (6.3, 8.1) | 5.0 (4.8, 5.21) | 2.9 (2.8, 3.1) | |
| 20 | 20.1 (18.3, 22.1) | 20.0 (18.9, 21.0) | 20.0 (18.1, 20.9) | 19.4 (18.5, 21.9) |
| 10.5 (8.4, 13.8) | 6.9 (6.3, 7.5) | 4.8 (4,5, 5.1) | 3.0 (2.9, 3.2) |
Mean lower and upper 95% confidence intervals for each estimate are indicated in brackets. The upper estimate in each row refers to the estimate of T s and the lower is the estimate of R 0.