Table 2.
Correlations between dengue case numbers in the Mérida City study neighborhoods and data for weather conditions, abundance of Ae. aegypti females, or surveillance for dengue virus (DENV) in Ae. aegypti females in the same or subsequent months.
| Lag time | Correlation with numbers of dengue cases in the study neighborhoods in the same or subsequent months based on the monthly data presented in Table 1a
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| Total monthly rainfall (mm) | Monthly average daily temperature (ºC) | Geometric mean no. Ae. aegypti females per home | Percentage of examined Ae. aegypti females infected with DENV | Percentage of examined homes with DENV-infected Ae. aegypti females collected | ||||||||||||||||
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| Typeb | N | ρ | P | Typeb | N | ρ | P | Typeb | N | ρ | P | Typeb | N | ρ | P | Typeb | N | ρ | P | |
| + 0 mo | NA | 24 | 0.272 | 0.198 | NA | 24 | −0.137 | 0.525 | Pos | 15 | 0.666 | 0.007 | NA | 15 | −0.178 | 0.525 | NA | 15 | −0.199 | 0.477 |
| + 1 mo | Pos | 23 | 0.476 | 0.022 | NA | 23 | 0.268 | 0.215 | Pos | 15 | 0.756 | 0.001 | NA | 15 | −0.506 | 0.054 | NA | 15 | −0.402 | 0.138 |
| + 2 mo | Pos | 22 | 0.553 | 0.008 | Pos | 22 | 0.646 | 0.001 | NA | 15 | 0.512 | 0.051 | Neg | 15 | −0.641 | 0.010 | Neg | 15 | −0.557 | 0.031 |
| + 3 mo | NA | 21 | 0.364 | 0.105 | Pos | 21 | 0.844 | <0.001 | NA | 15 | 0.112 | 0.691 | NA | 15 | −0.386 | 0.156 | NA | 15 | −0.255 | 0.359 |
| + 4 mo | NA | 20 | 0.017 | 0.944 | Pos | 20 | 0.750 | <0.001 | NA | 15 | −0.170 | 0.545 | NA | 15 | −0.291 | 0.292 | NA | 15 | −0.258 | 0.354 |
| + 5 mo | NA | 19 | −0.280 | 0.245 | Pos | 19 | 0.508 | 0.027 | NA | 15 | −0.400 | 0.140 | NA | 15 | −0.184 | 0.511 | NA | 15 | −0.077 | 0.785 |
Based on Spearman’s rank correlation (ρ) along with the number of data points (N) and the p-value for the test of significance (P).
Pos – Positive correlation (P<0.05); Neg – Negative correlation (P<0.05); NA – non-significant correlation (P≥0.05).