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. 2014 Aug 12;7:10.3402/gha.v7.24413. doi: 10.3402/gha.v7.24413

Table 2.

Risk change in the number of influenza A per week for 1 unit increase in temperature (°C), relative humidity (%) and sunlight duration (hour) and for 10 mm increase in rainfall

Risk Change (%)

Weather variable Break point Estimate 95% CI P d
0–1 week average lag
 Temperature (low)a 18.9 −51.03 (−73.49 to −10.63) 0.02*
 Temperature (middle)b 25.5 60.16 (14.71 to 132.29) <0.01*
 Temperature (high)c −43.39 (−66.35 to −3.03) 0.04*
 Relative humidity (low)a 71.0 27.00 (6.57 to 51.65) <0.01*
 Relative humidity (high)c −5.45 (−19.49 to 10.16) 0.47
 Sunlight (low)a 5.5 −36.62 (−56.5 to −8.39) 0.01*
 Sunlight (high)c 0.40 (−26.92 to 36.83) 0.98
 Rainfall −8.61 (−9.52 to −9.52) <0.01*
0–3 week average lag
 Temperature 16.91 (−7.20 to 47.28) 0.19
 Relative humidity (low)a 70.2 30.96 (8.77 to 57.67) <0.01*
 Relative humidity (high)c 0.93 (−22.92 to 32.16) 0.95
 Sunlight (low)a 5.6 −43.77 (−58.72 to −23.41) <0.01*
 Sunlight (high)c 7.66 (−31.62 to 69.50) 0.75
 Rainfall −7.65 (−14.64 to −0.08) 0.05*
a

The piecewise linear regression below the first break point.

b

The piecewise linear regression above the first break point and below the second break point.

c

The piecewise linear regression above the second break point.

d*

for P value denotes<0.05.