Table 2.
Strict Drug Cap States
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Intercept | Baseline Trend | Part D | Trend Change Post Part D | |||||
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Estimate (95% CI) | p-valueb | Estimate (95% CI) | p-value | Estimate (95% CI) | p-value | Estimate (95% CI) | p-value | |
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Non-Elderly | ||||||||
Any | 0.19 (0.17, 0.20) | <0.001 | 0.001 (0.0001, 0.002) | 0.029 | 0.07 (0.05, 0.09) | <0.001 | 0.002 (0.001 (0.003) | 0.002 |
SMD c | 0.32 (0.28, 0.35) | <0.001 | 0.002 (−0.001, 0.004) | 0.202 | 0.09 (0.03, 0.14) | 0.002 | 0.002 (−0.001, 0.01) | 0.192 |
Elderly | ||||||||
Any | 0.20 (0.19, 0.22) | <0.001 | 0.001 (0.00004, 0.002) | 0.042 | 0.08 (0.05, 0.10) | <0.001 | 0.002 (0.0001, 0.003) | 0.034 |
SMD | 0.32 (0.29, 0.35) | <0.001 | 0.002 (0.0001, 0.004) | 0.036 | 0.08 (0.03, 0.12) | 0.002 | −0.0004 (−0.004, 0.003) | 0.819 |
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No Drug Cap States | ||||||||
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Non-Elderly | ||||||||
Any | 0.35 (0.35, 0.36) | <0.001 | 0.005 (0.004, 0.005) | <0.001 | −0.001 (−0.01, 0.01) | 0.749 | −0.004 (−0.005, −0.003) | <0.001 |
SMD | 0.44 (0.43, 0.46) | <0.001 | 0.01 (0.01, 0.01) | <0.001 | −0.01 (−0.03, 0.005) | 0.144 | −0.004 (−0.01, −0.003) | <0.001 |
Elderly | ||||||||
Any | 0.42 (0.41, 0.43) | <0.001 | 0.004 (0.003, 0.004) | <0.001 | −0.01 (−0.03, 0.01) | 0.205 | −0.004 (−0.005, −0.002) | <0.001 |
SMD | 0.48 (0.47, 0.50) | <0.001 | 0.01 (0.01, 0.01) | <0.001 | 0.002 (−0.02, 0.03) | 0.842 | −0.01 (−0.01, −0.004) | <0.001 |
State Medicaid program limited monthly drug coverage to five or fewer total prescriptions or to three or fewer brand name drugs during the 24-month baseline period, 2004–2005. The 32 no-cap states were: AK, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, HI, IA, ID, IN, MA, MD, MI, MN, MO, MT, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NV, OR, RI, SD, UT, VA, VT, WA, WI, WV, WY. The 4 strict cap states were: AR, MS, OK, TX. The following 11 states had less restrictive caps: AL, CA, GA, IL, KS, KY, ME, NC, NY, PA, SC. Three states were excluded from the study due to data anomalies: AZ, LA, OH. We also excluded one state due to the introduction of a drug cap during the baseline period: TN.
p value < 0.006 was considered significant
Standardized monthly dose = median number of milligrams dispensed per month across person-months with any drug use