Table 2. 10-Year event rates (95% confidence intervals) and risk reduction (95% confidence intervals) in event rate in the Russian hypertensive population by SBP control rate scenario.
MACE | Cerebro-vascular event diagnosis | MI diagnosis | CHD death | Cerebro-vascular (stroke) death | CVD death | Life expectancy, years | |
Current care, 23.9% SBP control | 0.294 (0.291–0.297) | 0.143 (0.140–0.145) | 0.048 (0.046–0.049) | 0.130 (0.128–0.132) | 0.090 (0.088–0.092) | 0.208 (0.205–0.210) | 15.94 |
Absolute risk reduction | |||||||
Absolute difference of current care from: | |||||||
40% SBP control rate | −0.038 (−0.042–−0.034) | −0.021 (−0.024–−0.018) | −0.007 (−0.009–−0.005) | −0.019 (−0.022–−0.016) | −0.011 (−0.014–−0.008) | −0.027 (−0.031–−0.024) | +0.93 |
60% SBP control rate | −0.085 (−0.089–−0.081) | −0.047 (−0.050–−0.044) | −0.015 (−0.017–−0.013) | −0.042 (−0.045–−0.039) | −0.025 (−0.028–−0.022) | −0.061 (−0.065–−0.058) | +2.09 |
Relative risk reduction | |||||||
Relative risk reduction with respect to current care from: | |||||||
40% SBP control rate | 12.9 (11.6–14.2) | 14.6 (12.5–16.7) | 14.2 (10.3–18.1) | 14.5 (12.3–16.7) | 12.4 (9.6–15.2) | 13.2 (11.5–14.8) | – |
60% SBP control rate | 28.9 (27.8–30.1) | 32.8 (31.0–34.6) | 31.8 (28.5–35.1) | 32.4 (30.6–34.3) | 27.9 (25.4–30.3) | 29.6 (28.1–31.0) | – |
CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; MACE, major adverse cardiac event; MI, myocardial infarction; SBP, systolic blood pressure.