Table 1.
Size of Assigned Provider Group† | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Small N = 1,940,061 | Medium-sized N = 576,238 | Large N = 586,555 | Total N = 3,102,854 | ||
Age (%) | |||||
Under 65 years | 8.6 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 8.4 | |
65–69 years | 12.8 | 12.8 | 12.7 | 12.8 | |
70–74 years | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | |
75–79 years | 20.6 | 20.9 | 21.1 | 20.7 | |
80–84 years | 18.5 | 18.9 | 19.1 | 18.7 | |
85 years and older | 19.6 | 19.1 | 19.4 | 19.5 | |
Female (%) | 58.6 | 58.4 | 57.8 | 58.4 | |
Race (%) | |||||
White | 90.1 | 91.0 | 92.0 | 90.6 | |
Black | 9.9 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 9.4 | |
Medicaid (%) | 15.3 | 12.7 | 11.6 | 14.1 | |
ZCTA—level characteristics, mean | |||||
% below federal poverty line | 9.4 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 9.1 | |
% with high school degree or higher | 74.8 | 76.3 | 77.6 | 75.6 | |
% with college degree or higher | 19.2 | 19.6 | 20.0 | 19.4 | |
Population Area (%) | |||||
Metropolitan county, 1 million or more | 45.6 | 39.4 | 41.9 | 43.7 | |
Metropolitan county, less than 1 million | 29.1 | 39.2 | 36.4 | 32.3 | |
Non-metropolitan county | 25.3 | 21.4 | 21.8 | 23.9 | |
Chronic Conditions from the CCW (%) | |||||
Diabetes mellitus | 50.7 | 49.0 | 48.3 | 50.0 | |
Ischemic heart disease | 74.6 | 73.7 | 72.6 | 74.0 | |
Acute myocardial infarction | 6.9 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.1 | |
Congestive heart failure | 39.3 | 38.1 | 37.0 | 38.7 | |
Stroke | 20.2 | 20.3 | 20.0 | 20.2 | |
Atrial fibrillation | 18.2 | 19.5 | 19.4 | 18.7 | |
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 28.2 | 26.8 | 25.7 | 27.4 | |
Chronic kidney disease | 21.3 | 22.5 | 22.8 | 21.8 | |
Alzheimer’s disease | 4.7 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.5 | |
Dementia | 12.1 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 11.8 | |
Osteoporosis | 36.9 | 35.9 | 34.8 | 36.3 | |
History of hip fracture | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
Depression | 28.2 | 30.1 | 30.1 | 28.9 | |
Arthritis | 36.9 | 35.9 | 34.8 | 36.3 | |
Breast cancer | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 4.8 | |
Colon cancer | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |
Prostate cancer | 5.7 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 5.8 | |
Lung cancer | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | |
Endometrial cancer | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | |
Cataract | 69.3 | 70.9 | 70.9 | 69.9 | |
Glaucoma | 24.0 | 23.9 | 23.5 | 23.9 | |
3 or more conditions | 73.5 | 73.8 | 72.8 | 73.4 | |
4 or more conditions | 70.6 | 71.2 | 70.2 | 70.7 | |
5 or more conditions | 37.9 | 37.6 | 36.4 | 37.6 | |
Mean number of chronic conditions | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.0 |
ZCTA = zip code tabulation area; CCW = Chronic condition warehouse
*Tests of statistical significance were conducted using chi-square tests for categorical variables and analysis of variance for continuous variables. Differences across the three categories of provider group size were statistically significant at a P < 0.01 level except for history of hip fracture. Sums of percentages may not equal 100 % due to rounding
† Size of provider groups was categorized according to eligibility for the two major Medicare ACO programs: small groups ineligible for ACO programs (< 5,000 assigned beneficiaries); medium-sized groups eligible for the Shared Savings Program (5,000–14,999 assigned beneficiaries); and large groups eligible for the Pioneer or Shared Savings Program (≥ 15,000 assigned beneficiaries), scaling eligibility thresholds to the 20 % sample