Table 4.
Comparisons of observed and predicted mortality in children for the All Ages model children-specific model with main effects and with interactions. Risk deciles were defined based on predicted mortality probability for each model.
| All Ages Model | Child Specific Main Effects Model | Child Specific Interactions Model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Deciles | Observed | Predicted | Observed | Predicted | Observed | Predicted |
| 0-10% | 72 | 25 | 54 | 44 | 50 | 41 |
| 10-20% | 7 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 16 | 16 |
| 20-30% | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 30-40% | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 40-50% | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 50-60% | 5 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 60-70% | 12 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 23 |
| 70-80% | 6 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 80-90% | 9 | 11 | 19 | 23 | - | - |
| 90-100% | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - | - |
| Total | 135 | 90 | 135 | 141 | 135 | 139 |