Table 5.
Comparisons of observed and predicted mortality in seniors for the All Ages model senior-specific model with main effects and with interactions. Risk deciles were defined based on predicted mortality probability for each model.
| All Ages Model | Senior-Specific Main Effects Model | Senior-Specific Interactions Model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Deciles | Observed | Predicted | Observed | Predicted | Observed | Predicted |
| 0-10% | 120 | 156 | 129 | 136 | 126 | 135 |
| 10-20% | 148 | 139 | 125 | 124 | 122 | 114 |
| 20-30% | 100 | 83 | 78 | 67 | 89 | 75 |
| 30-40% | 84 | 63 | 72 | 64 | 57 | 59 |
| 40-50% | 65 | 50 | 61 | 52 | 66 | 54 |
| 50-60% | 52 | 53 | 50 | 54 | 55 | 60 |
| 60-70% | 60 | 53 | 47 | 51 | 54 | 55 |
| 70-80% | 60 | 54 | 59 | 61 | 44 | 48 |
| 80-90% | 70 | 73 | 70 | 74 | 79 | 82 |
| 90-100% | 199 | 196 | 267 | 274 | 266 | 269 |
| Total | 958 | 920 | 958 | 957 | 958 | 951 |