Table 2.

Significance of the parameters in the proposed models and the goodness of fit for each model.

Model type		Lag	Coefficient	SE. Coef.	T	P	AIC	BIC
SARIMA (1,1,1)(1,1,1) 12	AR	1	0.075	0.115	0.65	0.5	12.6037	3.6037
	SAR	12	-0.072	0.119	-0.6	0.5
	MR	1	0.829	0.06	12.9	0.0001
	SMA	12	0.862	0.09	8.9	0.0001
	Constant	-	0.011	0.02	0.57	0.57
SARIMA (0,1,1)(0,1,1) 12	MA	1	0.79	0.05	14.5	0.0001	8.7022	3.7022
	AMA	12	0.86	0.07	10.9	0.0001
	Constant	-	0.008	0.03	0.31	0.7