Table 4.
Model | Cohorts (n) | Participants (n) | HR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
Main model | 11 | 99,446 | 1.19 (0.88, 1.62)* |
Role of cardiovascular risk factors | |||
Intermediate variables: diabetes and hypertension | |||
Plus diabetes and hypertension | 11 | 99,446 | 1.15 (0.84, 1.56)* |
Physical activity, alcohol consumption, and BMI | |||
Main model, on subset of participants with additional information | 8a | 76,599 | 1.32 (0.87, 2.00)* |
Plus additional information | 8a | 76,599 | 1.30 (0.86, 1.97)* |
All cardiovascular risk factors (diabetes, hypertension, physical activity, alcohol, BMI, cholesterol)b | |||
Main model, on subset of participants with additional information | 4b | 24,948 | 1.91 (0.96, 3.82)* |
Plus additional information | 4b | 24,948 | 1.88 (0.99, 3.57)* |
Urban/rural | |||
Plus rural indicator | 11 | 99,446 | 1.18 (0.87, 1.59) |
Noise | |||
Main model, on subset of participants with additional information | 9c | 73,121 | 1.25 (0.92, 1.71) |
Plus noise variable | 9c | 73,121 | 1.26 (0.89, 1.78) |
Change of address during follow-up | |||
Main model, on cohorts with change of address data | 10d | 92,216 | 1.26 (0.93, 1.72) |
No change of address during follow-up | 10d | 62,799 | 1.19 (0.81, 1.76) |
Proportionality-hazards assumption | |||
Variables which don’t meet PH assumption as strata | 11 | 99,446 | 1.20 (0.89, 1.62) |
Exclusion of DCH cohort | |||
10 cohorts (all except DCH) | 10 | 63,753 | 1.22 (0.86, 1.75) |
Performance of the LUR model | |||
LOOCV R2 coefficient > 0.6 | 6e | 32,191 | 1.75 (1.30, 2.35) |
LOOCV R2 coefficient ≤ 0.6 | 5f | 67,255 | 0.89 (0.70, 1.13) |
aAll cohorts except SALT, SIDRIA-Turin and SIDRIA-Rome. bIncludes FINRISK, 60y, HNR, and KORA. cAll cohorts except SDPP and SIDRIA-Rome. dAll cohorts except EPIC-Turin. eIncludes SNAC-K (LOOCV R2 = 0.78), SALT (0.78), 60y (0.78), SDPP (0.78), HNR (0.79), and KORA (0.62). fIncludes FINRISK (LOOCV = R2 0.53), DCH (0.55), EPIC-Turin (0.59), SIDRIA-Turin (0.59), and SIDRIA-Rome (0.60). *pheterogeneity < 0.05, as indicated by Cochran’s Q or I2 > 50%. |