Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Sep 5.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet. 2012 Dec 15;380(9859):2224–2260. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61766-8

Table 1.

Risk factors included, exposure variables, theoretical-minimum-risk exposure distributions, and outcomes affected

Exposure definition Outcomes Subgroup Main data sources for
exposure
Exposure
estimation
method
Theoretical-
minimum-risk
exposure
distribution
Source of
relative risks
1. Unimproved water and sanitation

1.1.
Unimproved
water source
Proportion of households using
an unimproved water source
(unprotected wells or springs,
vendor-provided water, tanker
trucks, surface water, and other
unspecified sources)
Intestinal infectious diseases All ages Population surveys and
censuses
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
All households use
an improved water
source (household
connection, a public
tap or standpipe, a
tubewell or
borehole, a
protected well or
spring, or rainwater
collection)
New
meta-analysis
1.2.
Unimproved
sanitation
Proportion of households using
unimproved sanitation
(traditional latrines, open
latrines without squatting slabs,
bucket latrines, hanging
latrines, open defecation or no
facilities, and other unspecified
facilities)
Intestinal infectious diseases All ages Population surveys and
censuses
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
All households use
improved sanitation
(public sewers,
septic systems, flush
or pour-flush
facilities, ventilated
improved latrines,
simple pit latrines
with squatting
slabs, and
composting toilets)
New
meta-analysis

2. Air pollution

2.1. Ambient
particulate
matter
pollution
Ambient concentration of
particles with an aerodynamic
diameter smaller than 2·5 µm,
measured in µg/m3
Lower respiratory infections;
trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers; IHD; cerebrovascular
disease; COPD
Age <5 years
for lower
respiratory
tract infection;
≥25 years for
all others
Surface monitor
measurements, aerosol
optical depth from
satellites, and TM5 global
atmospheric chemistry
transport model2226
Average of
satellite and
chemistry
transport
estimates,
calibrated to
surface
monitor
measurements
5·8–8·8 µg/m3 Integrated
exposure–
response curve
2.2. Household
air pollution
from solid fuels
Proportion of households using
solid fuels for cooking (coal,
wood, charcoal, dung, and
agricultural residues)
Lower respiratory infections;
trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers; IHD; cerebrovascular
disease; COPD; cataracts
Age <5 years
for lower
respiratory
tract infection;
≥25 years for
all others
Population surveys and
censuses
Mixed effect
regression
All households
using clean fuels for
cooking (vented
gas, electricity)
Integrated
exposure–
response curve
for lower
respiratory
tract infection,
IHD, and
stroke; new
meta-analysis
for cataracts,
COPD, and
lung cancer
2.3. Ambient
ozone pollution
Ambient concentrations of
ozone in air, measured in parts
per billion
COPD Age ≥25 years TM5 global atmospheric
chemistry transport
model2224
TM5 global
atmospheric
chemistry
transport
model2224
33·3–41·9 parts per
billion
Jerrett and
colleagues27

3. Other environmental risks

3.1. Residential
radon
Residential radon, measured in
Bq/m3
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
All ages Direct household
measurements from
surveys
Mixed effect
regression
10 Bq/m3 Darby and
colleagues28
3.2. Lead
exposure
Blood lead (measured in µg/dL)
and bone lead (measured in
µg/g)
Intellectual disability; systolic blood
pressure, which has effects on: RHD;
IHD; ischaemic stroke; haemorrhagic
and other non-ischaemic stroke;
HHD; aortic aneurysm; the aggregate
of cardiomyopathy and myocarditis
and endocarditis; the aggregate of
atrial fibrillation and flutter, PVD,
other CVD; CKD
<15 years for
intellectual
disability;
≥25 years for
all others
Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
DisMod 3 Bone lead level
expected from age-
specific cumulative
exposure to blood
lead of 0·09652
µmol/L29
Lanphear and
colleagues,30
Navas-Acien
and
colleagues31

4. Child and maternal undernutrition

4.1. Suboptimal
breastfeeding
  4.1.1. Non-
exclusive
breastfeeding
Proportion of children younger
than 6 months with
predominant, partial, or no
breastfeeding
Intestinal infectious diseases; the
aggregate of lower respiratory
infections, upper respiratory
infections, and otitis media
Age
0–5 months
Population surveys Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
All children
exclusively
breastfed for first
6 months
Lamberti and
colleagues,32
Black and
colleagues10
  4.1.2.
Discontinued
breastfeeding
Proportion of children aged
6–23 months with discontinued
breastfeeding
Intestinal infectious diseases Age
6–23 months
Population surveys Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
Continued
breastfeeding until
2 years
Lamberti and
colleagues,32
Black and
colleagues10
4.2. Childhood
underweight
Proportion of children less than
−3 SDs, −3 to −2 SDs, and −2 to
−1 SDs of the WHO 2006
standard weight-for-age curve
Intestinal infectious diseases;
measles; malaria; the aggregate of
lower respiratory infections, upper
respiratory infections, and otitis
media; protein–energy
malnutrition
Age <5 years Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
Proportion of the
WHO 2006
reference
population in each
SD range
Black and
colleagues10
4.3. Iron
deficiency
Haemoglobin, measure in g/L The aggregate of maternal
haemorrhage and maternal sepsis;
iron-deficiency anaemia
All ages Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
Mixed effect
regression
Country-specific Stoltzfus and
colleagues33
4.4. Vitamin A
deficiency
Proportion of children with
serum retinol concentration
<70 µmol/L
Intestinal infectious diseases;
measles; vitamin A deficiency
Age 6 months
to 5 years
Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
DisMod 3 No childhood
vitamin A
deficiency
Imdad and
colleagues,34,35
adjusted for
background
prevalence
4.5. Zinc
deficiency
Proportion of the population
with inadequate zinc intake
based on estimated mean daily
amount of absorbable zinc per
head in the food supply
compared with mean
physiological requirements
Intestinal infectious diseases; lower
respiratory infections
Age 1–4 years Food and Agricultural
Organization food balance
sheets
Mixed effect
regression
No inadequate zinc
intake
Yakoob and
colleagues,36
adjusted for
background
prevalence

5. Tobacco smoking, including second-hand smoke

5.1. Tobacco
smoking
Smoking impact ratio for
cancers and chronic respiratory
disease, 10-year lagged tobacco
smoking prevalence for all other
causes including cardiovascular
diseases
Tuberculosis; oesophageal cancer;
nasopharynx cancer; pancreatic
cancer; kidney and other urinary
organ cancers; bladder cancer;
stomach cancer; leukaemia; liver
cancer; trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers; cervical cancer; colon and
rectal cancer; mouth cancer;
diabetes mellitus; IHD;
cerebrovascular disease; the
aggregate of HHD, atrial fibrillation
and flutter, aortic aneurysm, PVD,
and other CVD; COPD; the aggregate
of pneumoconiosis, asthma, other
interstitial lung disease, and other
chronic respiratory diseases
Age ≥25 years Mortality data including
vital registration, verbal
autopsy, and population
surveys for smoking
prevalence
CoDEM37 No tobacco
smoking
Re-analysis of
the Cancer
Prevention
Study 23840
5.2. Second-
hand smoke
Proportion of children and
non-smoking adults reporting
exposure to second-hand
smoke
The aggregate of lower respiratory
infections, upper respiratory
infections, and otitis media;
trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers; IHD; cerebrovascular
disease
Age <5 years
for the
aggregate of
lower
respiratory
infections,
upper
respiratory
infections, and
otitis media,
age ≥25 years
for all others
Population surveys Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No second-hand
smoke exposure
US
Department of
Health and
Human
Services,41
Oono and
colleagues,42
Jones and
colleagues43,44

6. Alcohol and drug use

6.1. Alcohol use Average consumption of pure
alcohol (measure in g/day) and
proportion of the population
reporting binge consumption of
0·06 kg or more of pure alcohol
on a single occasion
Tuberculosis; lower respiratory
infections; oesophageal cancer; the
aggregate of mouth cancer,
nasopharynx cancer, cancer of
other part of pharynx and
oropharynx; liver cancer; larynx
cancer; breast cancer; colon and
rectum cancers; diabetes mellitus;
IHD; ischaemic stroke;
haemorrhagic and other non-
ischaemic stroke; HHD; atrial
fibrillation and flutter; cirrhosis of
the liver; pancreatitis; epilepsy;
transport injuries; the aggregate of
falls, drowning, fire, heat, and hot
substances, poisonings, exposure
to mechanical forces, intentional
self-harm, and interpersonal
violence; alcohol use disorders
All ages for
alcohol use
disorders,
transport
injuries, and
interpersonal
violence;
≥15 years for
all others
Population surveys, alcohol
sales, production, and other
economic statistics
Mixed effect
regression45
No alcohol
consumption
Published
studies4659
6.2. Drug use Proportion of the population
reporting use of cannabis,
opioids, and amphetamines,
proportion of the population
reporting use of injecting drugs
Drug use disorders; schizophrenia;
HIV/AIDS; the aggregate of acute
hepatitis B, liver cancer secondary
to hepatitis B, and cirrhosis of the
liver secondary to hepatitis B; the
aggregate of acute hepatitis C,
liver cancer secondary to hepatitis
C, and cirrhosis of the liver
secondary to hepatitis C;
intentional self-harm
All ages Population surveys,
registries, and indirect
measures
DisMod 3 No use of cannabis,
opioid, or
amphetamines, no
use of injecting
drugs
New meta-
analyses,
published
studies60,61

7. Physiological risk factors

7.1. High fasting
plasma glucose
Fasting plasma glucose,
measured in mmol/L
Diabetes mellitus; IHD;
cerebrovascular disease; CKD;
tuberculosis
Age ≥25 years Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
Bayesian
hierarchical
regression62
Mean
4·9–5·3 mmol/L
(SD 0·3 mmol/L)
Meta-
regression of
pooled
prospective
studies6366
7.2. High total
cholesterol
Total cholesterol, measured in
mmol/L
IHD; ischaemic stroke Age ≥25 years Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
Bayesian
hierarchical
regression67
Mean
3·8–4·0 mmol/L
(SD 0·9 mmol/L)
Meta-
regression of
pooled
prospective
studies68,69
7.3. High blood
pressure
Systolic blood pressure,
measured in mm Hg
RHD; IHD; ischaemic stroke,
haemorrhagic and other non-
ischaemic stroke; HHD; the
aggregate of cardiomyopathy and
myocarditis and endocarditis; the
aggregate of atrial fibrillation and
flutter, PVD, and other CVD; aortic
aneurysm; CKD
Age ≥25 years Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
Bayesian
hierarchical
regression70
Mean 110–115 mm
Hg (SD 6 mm Hg)
Meta-
regression of
pooled
prospective
studies7173
7.4. High body-
mass index
Body-mass index, measured in
kg/m2
Oesophageal cancer; gallbladder
and biliary tract cancer; pancreatic
cancer; kidney and other urinary
organ cancers; breast cancer;
uterine cancer; colon and rectum
cancers; diabetes mellitus; IHD;
ischaemic stroke; HHD; the
aggregate of cardiomyopathy and
myocarditis and endocarditis; the
aggregate of atrial fibrillation and
flutter, PVD, and other CVD; CKD;
osteoarthritis; low back pain
Age ≥25 years Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
Bayesian
hierarchical
regression74
Mean
21·0–23·0 kg/m2
(SD 1 kg/m2)
Meta-
regression of
pooled
prospective
studies7578
7.5. Low bone
mineral density
Standardised bone mineral
density measured at the femoral
neck
Hip fracture falls; non-hip fracture
falls
Age ≥50 years Examination surveys and
epidemiological studies
DisMod 3 90th percentile of
NHANES-III
cohort79 by age
Johnell and
colleagues80

8. Dietery risk factors and physical inactivity

8.1. Diet low in
fruits
Dietary intake of fruits (fresh,
frozen, cooked, canned, or dried
but excluding fruit juices and
salted or pickled fruits)
The aggregate of oesophageal
cancer, mouth cancer, the aggregate
of nasopharynx cancer, cancer of
other part of pharynx and
oropharynx, and larynx cancer;
trachea, bronchus, and lung cancers;
IHD; ischaemic stroke; haemorrhagic
and other non-ischaemic stroke
Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean 300 g/day
(SD 30 g/day)
New meta-
analysis,
published
studies81,82
8.2. Diet low in
vegetables
Dietary intake of vegetables
(fresh, frozen, cooked, canned, or
dried vegetables including
legumes but excluding salted or
pickled, juices, nuts and seeds,
and starchy vegetables such as
potatoes or corn)
The aggregate of mouth cancer,
nasopharynx cancer, cancer of
other part of pharynx and
oropharynx, and larynx cancer; IHD;
ischaemic stroke; haemorrhagic
and other non-ischaemic stroke
Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean 400 g/day
(SD 30 g/day)
New meta-
analysis, He
and
colleagues81
8.3. Diet low in
whole grains
Dietary intake of whole grains
(bran, germ, and endosperm in
their natural proportions) from
breakfast cereals, bread, rice,
pasta, biscuits, muffins, tortillas,
pancakes, and others
Diabetes mellitus; IHD;
cerebrovascular disease
Age ≥25 year Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean 125 g/day
(SD 12·5 g/day)
Mellen and
colleagues,83
de Munter and
colleagues84
8.4. Diet low in
nuts and seeds
Dietary intake of nut and seed
foods including, for example,
peanut butter
IHD Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean 114 g per
week (SD 11·4 g per
week)
Kelly and
colleagues85
8.5. Diet low in
milk
Dietary intake of milk including
non-fat, low-fat, and full-fat
milk but excluding soya milk
and other plant derivatives
Colon and rectum cancers Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean 450 g/day
(SD 45 g/day)
World Cancer
Research Fund
and American
Institute for
Cancer
Research82
8.6. Diet high in
red meat
Dietary intake of red meat (beef,
pork, lamb, and goat but
excluding poultry, fish, eggs,
and all processed meats)
Colon and rectum cancers; diabetes
mellitus
Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean 100 g per
week (SD 10 g per
week)
World Cancer
Research Fund
and American
Institute for
Cancer
Research,82
published
studies86,87
8.7. Diet high in
processed meat
Dietary intake of meat
preserved by smoking, curing,
salting, or addition of chemical
preservatives, including bacon,
salami, sausages, or deli or
luncheon meats like ham,
turkey, and pastrami
Colon and rectum cancers; diabetes
mellitus; IHD
Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 No dietary intake of
processed meat
World Cancer
Research Fund
and American
Institute for
Cancer
Research,82
Micha and
colleagues87
8.8. Diet high in
sugar-
sweetened
beverages
Dietary intake of beverages with
≥50 kcal per 226·8 g serving,
including carbonated beverages,
sodas, energy drinks, fruit drinks
but excluding 100% fruit and
vegetable juices
Diabetes mellitus and body-mass
index with subsequent effects on:
oesophageal cancer; gallbladder and
biliary tract cancer; pancreatic cancer;
kidney and other urinary organ
cancers; breast cancer; uterine cancer;
colon and rectum cancers; diabetes
mellitus; IHD; ischaemic stroke; HHD;
the aggregate of cardiomyopathy
and myocarditis and endocarditis;
the aggregate of atrial fibrillation
and flutter, PVD, and other CVD;
CKD; osteoarthritis; low back pain
Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 No dietary intake of
sugar-sweetened
beverages
New meta-
analysis
8.9. Diet low in
fibre
Dietary intake of fibre from all
sources including fruits,
vegetables, grains, legumes,
and pulses
Colon and rectum cancers; IHD Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean of 30 g/day
(SD 3 g/day)
World Cancer
Research Fund
and American
Institute for
Cancer
Research,82
Pereira and
colleagues88
8.10. Diet low
in calcium
Dietary intake of calcium from
all sources, including milk,
yogurt, and cheese
Colon and rectum cancers; prostate
cancer
Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean of
1200 mg/day (SD
120 mg/day)
World Cancer
Research Fund
and American
Institute for
Cancer
Research,82 Cho
and
colleagues89
8.11. Diet low
in seafood
omega-3 fatty
acids
Dietary intake of
eicosapentaenoic acid and
docosahexaenoic acid,
measured in mg/day
Death caused by IHD Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 250 mg/day Updated
published
review of
Mozaffarian
and
colleagues90
8.12. Diet low in
polyunsaturated
fatty acids
Dietary intake of omega-6 fatty
acids from all sources, mainly
liquid vegetable oils, including
soybean oil, corn oil, and
safflower oil
IHD Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Substitution of
present saturated
fatty acid intake up
to a mean intake of
polyunsaturated
fatty acids of 12%
of energy (SD 1·2%)
Jakobsen and
colleagues,91
Mozaffarian
and
colleagues92
8.13. Diet high
in trans fatty
acids
Dietary intake of trans fat from
all sources, mainly partially
hydrogenated vegetable oils
and ruminant products
IHD Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean of 0·5% of
energy (SD 0·05%)
Mozaffarian
and
colleagues93
8.14. Diet high
in sodium
24 h urinary sodium, measured
in mg/day
Stomach cancer; systolic blood
pressure which has effects on: RHD;
IHD; ischaemic stroke,
haemorrhagic and other
non-ischaemic stroke; HHD; the
aggregate of cardiomyopathy and
myocarditis and endocarditis; the
aggregate of atrial fibrillation and
flutter, PVD, and other CVD; aortic
aneurysm; CKD
Age ≥25 years Nutrition and health
surveys
DisMod 3 Mean of
1000 mg/day (SD
100 mg/day)
Re-analysis of
observational
studies for
stomach
cancer and
randomised
studies for
blood pressure
lowering82,94
8.15. Physical
inactivity and
low physical
activity*
Proportion of the population in
categories of physical activity:
level 0, <600 MET-minutes per
week (inactive); level 1,
600–3999 MET-minutes per
week (low-active); level 2, 4000–
7999 MET-minutes per week
(moderately active); and level 3,
≥8000 MET-minutes per week
(highly active)
Breast cancer; colon and rectum
cancers; diabetes mellitus; IHD;
ischaemic stroke
Age ≥25 years Population surveys DisMod 3 All individuals are
highly active
(level 3)
Danaei and
colleagues11

9. Occupational risk factors

9.1.
Occupational
carcinogens
  9.1.1.
Occupational
exposure to
asbestos
Cumulative exposure to
asbestos using mesothelioma in
a smoking impact ratio
analogue
Ovarian cancer; other neoplasms;
larynx cancer; trachea, bronchus,
and lung cancers
Age ≥15 years Vital registration mortality
data, asbestos production,
import, and export
statistics
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No exposure to
asbestos
Published
studies9598
  9.1.2.
Occupational
exposure to
arsenic
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Lee-Feldstein101
  9.1.3.
Occupational
exposure to
benzene
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Leukaemia Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Khalade and
colleagues102
  9.1.4.
Occupational
exposure to
beryllium
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Schubauer-
Berigan and
colleagues103
  9.1.5.
Occupational
exposure to
cadmium
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Hutchings and
colleagues95
  9.1.6.
Occupational
exposure to
chromium
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Rosenman and
colleagues104
  9.1.7
Occupational
exposure to
diesel engine
exhaust
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus and lung cancers Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Lipsett and
colleagues105
  9.1.8.
Occupational
exposure to
second-hand
smoke
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Stayner and
colleagues106
  9.1.9.
Occupational
exposure to
formaldehyde
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Leukaemia; nasopharynx cancer Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Collins and
colleagues,107
Hauptmann
and
colleagues108
  9.1.10.
Occupational
exposure to
nickel
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Grimsrud and
colleagues109,110
  9.1.11.
Occupational
exposure to
polycyclic
aromatic
hydrocarbons
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Armstrong
and
colleagues111
  9.1.12.
Occupational
exposure to
silica
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Trachea, bronchus, and lung
cancers
Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Kurihara and
colleagues112
  9.1.13.
Occupational
exposure to
sulphuric acid
Proportion of population ever
exposed (by taking into account
worker turnover)99,100 based on
distribution of the population in
nine industries
Larynx cancer Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys,
censuses, and International
Information System on
Occupational Exposure to
Carcinogens
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
carcinogens
Soskolne and
colleagues113
9.2.
Occupational
asthmagens
Proportion of population
exposed based on distribution of
the population in eight
occupational groups
(professional, technical, and
related workers; administrative
and managerial workers; clerical
and related workers; sales
workers; service workers;
agriculture, animal husbandry,
and forestry workers, fishermen
and hunters; production and
related workers; and transport
equipment operators and
labourers)
Asthma Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys and
censuses
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
Background
asthmagen
exposures
Published
studies114116
9.3.
Occupational
particulate
matter, gases,
and fumes
Proportion of population
exposed based on distribution
of the population in nine
industries
COPD Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys and
censuses
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
No occupational
exposure to
particulates, gases,
or fumes
New meta-
analysis
9.4.
Occupational
noise
Proportion of population
exposed based on distribution
of the population in nine
industries
Hearing loss Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys and
censuses
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
Background noise
exposure
New meta-
analysis
9.5.
Occupational
risk factors for
injuries
Fatal occupational injury Age ≥15 years International Labour
Organization injury
database
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
Five injury deaths
per 1 000 000
person-years
9.6.
Occupational
low back pain
Proportion of population
exposed based on distribution of
the population in eight
occupational groups
(professional, technical, and
related workers; administrative
and managerial workers; clerical
and related workers; sales
workers; service workers;
agriculture, animal husbandry,
and forestry workers, fishermen
and hunters; production and
related workers; and transport
equipment operators and
labourers)
Low back pain Age ≥15 years Labour force surveys and
censuses
Spatiotemporal
Gaussian
process
regression1921
All individuals have
the ergonomic
factors of clerical
and related workers
New meta-
analysis

10. Sexual abuse and violence

10.1. Childhood
sexual abuse*
Proportion of the population
who have ever experienced
childhood sexual abuse,
defined as the experience with
an older person of unwanted
non-contact, contact abuse, or
intercourse, when aged 15 years
or younger
Alcohol use disorders, unipolar
depressive disorders, intentional
self-harm
All ages Population surveys and
epidemiological studies
DisMod 3 No childhood
sexual abuse
New meta-
analysis
10.2. Intimate
partner
violence*
Proportion of the population
who have ever experienced one
or more acts of physical or
sexual violence by a present or
former partner since age
15 years
Abortion, unipolar depressive
disorders, intentional self-harm,
interpersonal violence
Age
15–49 years
for abortion,
≥15 years for
all others
Population surveys and
epidemiological studies
DisMod 3 No intimate
partner violence
New meta-
analysis,
Beydoun and
colleagues117

IHD=ischaemic heart disease. COPD=chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. CVD=cardiovascular and circulatory diseases. RHD=rheumatic heart disease. PVD=peripheral vascular disease. CKD=chronic kidney disease. HHD=hypertensive heart disease

*

Not assessed for 1990 because of absence of exposure data.

Agriculture, hunting, forestry, and fishing; mining and quarrying; wholesale and retail trade and restaurants and hotels; manufacturing; electricity, gas, and water; transport, storage, and communication; construction; financing, insurance, real estate, and business services; and community, social, and personal services.