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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Sep 13.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA Surg. 2014 Jan;149(1):10–16. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2013.4109

Table 4.

Relative ability of different quality measures from 2008-09 to discriminate future (2010) risk-adjusted complications and explain variation in hospital-level complication rates.

Hospital Rankings (2008-09) Risk-adjusted complications in 2010
Odds ratio (95% CI) Odds ratio (95% CI) Proportion of hospital-level variation explained
Quality measure 2-star vs. 3-star hospitals 1-star vs. 3 star hospitals
Hospital volume 0.93 (0.47 to 1.85) 0.85 (0.43 to 1.68) 0%
Risk-adjusted complication rates 1.27 (0.66 to 2.44) 1.56 (0.84 to 2.91) 28%
Risk- and reliability adjusted complication rates 1.37 (0.71 to 2.61) 1.65 (0.88 to 3.10) 47%
Composite measure 1.26 (0.7 to 2.25) 1.99 (1.14 to 3.47) 89%