Table 2. Input parameters for probabilistic sensitivity analysis of immunological staging by POC-CD4 versus LAB-CD4 in Mozambique.
Variable | Distribution | Base Case Value | SD | Reference |
Repeat HIV testing or immunologic staging (years) | Log-normal | 10 | 4.8 | Assumption |
Cost per point-of-care CD4 test (US dollars) | Log-normal | 24 | 6 | [39],[40] |
Overall linkage to care after POC-CD4 (percent)a | Beta | 61 | 9.8 | Adapted from [14] |
Annual routine care costs ratio (percent)b | Log-normal | 100 | 25 | Adapted from [46] |
Mean CD4 at diagnosis (cells/µl) | Log-normal | 300 | 150 | [14] |
Point-of-care test CV (percent)c | Beta | 32.6 | 10 | [36] |
Linkage after WHO stage 3 or 4 OI (percent) | Beta | 75 | 12.5 | Assumption |
Mean age at diagnosis (years) | Log-normal | 32.7 | 7.5 | [14] |
Linkage after TB (percent) | Beta | 43 | 10 | [33],[34] |
Overall linkage is varied using point-of-care test completion (83%, SD 13.5%).
Annual routine care costs for patients with CD4 count ≤250/µl are US$250 (SD US$62.5), and for patients with CD4 count>250/µl are US$160 (SD US$40).
Point-of-care test sensitivity (87%–95%) and specificity (76%–96%).