Table 4.
Choice predictions
| Policy 1 | Policy 2 | Policy 3 | Policy 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target people: | ||||
| People with disability | ✓ | |||
| People with drug addiction | ✓ | |||
| People with cancer | ✓ | |||
| People with mental health problems | ✓ | |||
| People with obesity | ||||
| People with asthma | ||||
| Target age: | ||||
| Young (less than 18) | ✓ | |||
| Adults (18–65) | ✓ | ✓ | ||
| Elderly (more than 65) | ✓ | |||
| Implementation time: | ||||
| Between 6–12 months | ✓ | |||
| More than 12 months | ✓ | |||
| Between 0–5 months | ✓ | ✓ | ||
| Whether it works: | ||||
| It works but not scientifically proven | ||||
| Experts say it works elsewhere in the NHS | ✓ | |||
| It works and scientific studies confirm this | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
| Potential health benefits: | ||||
| Moderate health (50%) | ✓ | |||
| Good health (75%) | ✓ | |||
| Best health (100%) | ✓ | ✓ | ||
| Cost per month: | £40 | £10 | £30 | £15 |
| Choice probability | 0.78 (0.69-0.87) | 0.43 (0.39-0.48) | 0.79 (0.75-0.83) | 0.82 (0.80-0.84) |
Figures in parentheses are confidence intervals at the 95% level, obtained using the delta method.