Table 2.
Reproduction numbers from the 1957 influenza A/H2N2 pandemic
| Location | Wavea | Study population | Mean GT/SIb | Reproduction number (R) | 95% CIc | Basic or effective | Case definition | Reference | Year published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2nd | Community | 3 | 1.39 | Basic | Unconfirmed deaths | [38] | 2010 | |
| United Kingdom | 2nd | Community | 2.6 | 1.70 | Basic | Unconfirmed deaths | [10] | 2006 | |
| United Kingdom | 2nd | Community | 3 | 1.5–1.6 | Basic | Unconfirmed illness | [39] | 2008 | |
| United Kingdom | 2nd | Community | 4 | 1.7–1.8 | Basic | Unconfirmed illness | [39] | 2008 | |
| United Kingdom | 2nd | Community | 4.1 | 1.50 | Effective | Unconfirmed illness | [25] | 2006 | |
| United Kingdom | 2nd | Community | NR | 1.65 | Basic | Serology confirmed infection | [26] | 2005 | |
| USA | 2nd | Community | 4 | 1.70 | Basic | Unconfirmed illness | [40] | 2004 | |
| Median reproduction number for the 1957 pandemic: 1.65; Interquartile range 1.53–1.70 | |||||||||
aThe 1957 influenza A/H2N2 pandemic began in February 1957 in southern China and spread to Singapore and Hong Kong in April [1]. The virus was first isolated in the United States in June 1957 and was associated with a mild first wave of illnesses [1, 41]. The peak of the pandemic occurred during the second wave in the Northern Hemisphere in October 1957 and was followed by a third wave in January 1958.
bThe generation time (GT) or serial interval (SI) assumed in the reproduction number estimation.
cConfidence interval.
NR = Not reported.
This table is also available as a .csv file as Additional file 2.