Table 3.
Reproduction numbers from the 1968 influenza A/H3N2 pandemic
| Location | Wavea | Study population | Mean GT/SIb | Reproduction number (R) | 95% CIc | Basic or effective | Case definition | Reference | Year published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong | 1st | Community | 2.95 | 1.89 | Basic | Unconfirmed illness | [42] | 1986 | |
| various | 1st | Community | 4 | 1.06–2.06 | Basic | Serology; laboratory confirmed illness; unconfirmed illness | [43] | 2010 | |
| various | 1st | Confined settings | 4 | 1.08–1.62 | Basic | Serology; laboratory confirmed illness; unconfirmed illness | [43] | 2010 | |
| United Kingdom | 1st | Community | 4.1 | 1.80 | Effective | Unconfirmed illness | [25] | 2006 | |
| United Kingdom | 2nd | Community | NR | 1.85 | Effective | Serology confirmed infection | [26] | 2005 | |
| various | 2nd | Community | 4 | 1.08–2.02 | Effective | Serology; laboratory confirmed illness; unconfirmed illness | [43] | 2010 | |
| various | 2nd | Confined settings | 4 | 1.43 | 1.23–1.63 | Effective | Serology; laboratory confirmed illness; unconfirmed illness | [43] | 2010 |
| Median reproduction number for the 1968 pandemic: 1.80; Interquartile range 1.56–1.85. | |||||||||
aThe 1968 influenza A/H3N2 pandemic began in Hong Kong in July 1968. Large single waves of illness were reported in the Northern Hemisphere between September 1968 and April 1969 (with peaks occurring in December 1968–January 1969). Large single waves of illnesses were reported in the Southern Hemisphere between June and September 1969. Some countries in the Northern Hemisphere, such as the United Kingdom, did not have an outbreak of H3N2 until the winter of 1969–70.
bThe generation time (GT) or serial interval (SI) assumed in the reproduction number estimation.
cConfidence interval.
NR = Not reported.
This table is also available as a .csv file as Additional file 3.