Table 6.
Cox regression models to predict 30-day and 6-month all-cause mortality at days 1, 3 and 8 of intensive care treatment
Model 1 | Model 2 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unadjusted | Adjusted for age, sex, creatinine, ICU days, APACHE II | |||||||
Predictor | HR | 95% CI | Chi-square | P -value | HR | 95% CI | Chi-square | P -value |
All-cause mortality 30 days | ||||||||
Day 1 | ||||||||
Log presepsin, pg/ml | 1.9 | 1.2, 3.0 | 6.9 | 0.009 | 2.2 | 1.2, 4.1 | 42.9 | 0.02 |
Log interleukin 6, pg/ml | 1.7 | 1.4, 2.2 | 20.5 | 0.0001 | 1.9 | 1.4, 2.7 | 54.7 | 0.0001 |
Day 3 | ||||||||
Log presepsin, pg/ml | 1.8 | 1.0, 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.05 | 1.3 | 0.5, 3.3 | 4.9 | 0.7 |
Log interleukin 6, pg/ml | 2.6 | 1.6, 4.4 | 13.2 | 0.0001 | 3.2 | 2.0, 5.4 | 28.3 | 0.0001 |
Day 8 | ||||||||
Log presepsin, pg/ml | 2.5 | 1.3, 5.0 | 7.4 | 0.007 | 7.5 | 2.4, 23.3 | 22.6 | 0.001 |
Log interleukin 6, pg/ml | 3.9 | 1.6, 9.4 | 9.2 | 0.003 | 6.0 | 1.9, 19.2 | 18.3 | 0.002 |
All-cause mortality 6 months | ||||||||
Day 1 | ||||||||
Log presepsin, pg/ml | 2.0 | 1.3, 3.0 | 10.6 | 0.001 | 2.7 | 1.5, 4.9 | 32.0 | 0.001 |
Log interleukin 6, pg/ml | 1.7 | 1.3, 2.1 | 19.3 | 0.0001 | 1.7 | 1.3, 2.3 | 36.5 | 0.0001 |
Day 3 | ||||||||
Log presepsin, pg/ml | 1.9 | 1.2, 3.2 | 6.5 | 0.01 | 1.5 | 0.6, 3.4 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
Log interleukin 6, pg/ml | 2.7 | 1.7, 4.3 | 16.6 | 0.0001 | 3.1 | 1.9, 4.9 | 22.3 | 0.0001 |
Day 8 | ||||||||
Log presepsin, pg/ml | 2.6 | 1.5, 4.3 | 12.7 | 0.0001 | 4.5 | 2.0, 10.4 | 17.2 | 0.0001 |
Log interleukin 6, pg/ml | 3.1 | 1.6, 6.1 | 11.5 | 0.001 | 3.5 | 1.5, 7.8 | 12.3 | 0.003 |
Hazard ratios (HR) describe the HR for a biomarker change per log unit-increase. APACHE II, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score.