Table 3.

Bayes factors for the topological comparisons

A)
Constraint	HME	PS	SS
C0	−23985	−24419	−24421
C1	−24004	−24424	−24425
C2	−24015	−24443	−24444
B)
Model	HME	PS	SS
C	−1696	−2052	−2053
Ex	−1729	−2041	−2042
Es	−1734	−2043	−2044
L	−1727	−2036	−2038

A) Topological constraints: C0, no constraint; C1, A. ramblae and A. brunneus respectively monophyletic; C2, A. rufulus monophyletic. B) Demographic models of the A. brunneus complex: C, constant population size; Ex, exponential growth; Es, expansion; L, logistic growth.

HME, harmonic mean stimator; PS, path sampling; SS, stepping stone (see text for details).