Table 2. Performance metrics of the genomic and clinical predictors.
T/FAC (n=91) | FACx6 (n=87) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Genomic predictor | ROC | AUC | 0.711 (95%CI:0.570–0.852) | 0.584 (95%CI:0.353–0.815) |
PPV | 38% (95%CI:21–56) | 9% (95%CI:1–29) | ||
NPV | 88% (95%CI:77–95) | 92% (95%CI:83–97) | ||
Sensitivity | 63% (95%CI:38–84) | 29% (95%CI:4–71) | ||
Specificity | 72% (95%CI:60–82) | 75% (95%CI:64–84) | ||
Clinical predictor | Discrimination (ROC) | AUC | 0.89 (95%CI:0.85–0.93) | 0.82 (95%CI:0.75–0.89) |
Calibration | p-value | 0.21 | 0.03 | |
E max | 10.5% | 15.5% | ||
E average | 4.8% | 9.2% |
Abbreviations: FAC = 5-Fluorouracil, Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide; T/FAC = weekly Paclitaxel and 5-Fluorouracil, Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide; AUC = Area Under the ROC Curve, ROC = receiver operating characteristic, CI = confidence interval; E = difference in predicted probabilities and observed frequencies; E max = maximal error, E average= average error.