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. 2014 Nov 5;369(1655):20130481. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2013.0481

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

This figure shows the results of a simulation of 16 trials, where a low offer was replaced by high offer on the 11th trial, which was accepted on the subsequent trial. Panel (a) shows the expected states as a function of trials or time, where the states are defined in figure 1. Panel (b) shows the corresponding expectations about control in the future, where the dotted lines are expectations during earlier trials and the full lines correspond to expectations during the final trial. Black corresponds to reject (stay) and grey to accept (shift). Panels (c,d) show the time-dependent changes in expected precision, after convergence on each trial (c) and deconvolved updates after each iteration of the variational updates (d).