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. 1986 Spring;7(3):1–36.

Table 4. Historical estimates and projections of active physicians and dentists as of December 31: Selected years 1950-90.

Year Number of active physicians Number of active dentists

Total M.D.'s1 D.O.'s2
Historical estimates
1950 219,900 209,000 10,900 79,190
1955 240,200 228,600 11,600 84,370
1960 259,400 247,300 12,200 90,120
1965 288,700 277,600 211,100 95,990
1970 326,500 314,200 12,300 102,220
1974 369,900 356,200 13,700 110,400
1975 384,400 370,400 14,000 112,450
1978 424,000 408,300 15,700 120,620
1980 457,500 440,400 17,100 126,240
1981 466,700 448,700 18,000 129,180
1982 479,900 461,200 18,700 132,010
1983 492,900 473,200 19,700 135,120
1984 506,500 485,700 20,800 137,950
Projections
1986 534,800 511,600 23,200 143,320
1988 562,000 536,300 25,700 147,410
1990 587,700 559,500 28,200 150,760
Average annual percent change
Selected periods
1950-55 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.3
1955-60 1.6 1.6 1.0 1.3
1960-65 2.2 2.3 3-1.9 1.3
1965-70 2.5 2.5 2.1 1.3
1970-75 3.3 3.3 2.6 1.9
1975-80 3.5 3.5 4.1 2.3
1980-85 2.6 2.8 5.1 2.2
1985-90 2.5 2.5 5.2 1.4
1984-86 2.8 2.6 5.6 1.9
1986-88 2.5 2.4 5.3 1.4
1988-90 2.3 2.1 4.8 1.1
1984-88 2.6 2.5 5.4 1.7
1965-84 3.0 3.0 3.4 1.9
1974-84 3.2 3.1 4.3 2.3
1984-90 2.5 2.4 5.2 1.5
1

Medical doctors.

2

Doctors of osteopathy.

3

The decline in the number of active D.O.'s from 1960 to 1965 reflects the granting of approximately 2,400 M.D. degrees to osteopathic physicians who had graduated from the University of California College of Medicine at Irvine. These physicians are included with active M.D.'s beginning in 1962.

SOURCES: Health Care Financing Administration, Office of the Actuary: Data from the Division of National Cost Estimates; (Bureau of Health Professions 1985).