Table 5. Regression analysis of nursing home bed stock: United States, 1978-84.
Coefficient and t-score for independent variable | 1978 | 1979 | 1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Intercept | 27.02 | 27.21 | 62.17 | 83.23 | 82.69 | 1111.57 | 194.75 |
Percent of population 65 years of age or over | −1.99 (−1.16) |
−0.87 −(0.51) |
0.30 (0.17) |
0.49 (0.30) |
−0.35 (−0.24) |
0.22 (0.15) |
0.56 (0.39) |
Personal income per capita | 3.72 (1.15) |
17.75 (2.54) |
16.80 (2.24) |
4.86 (1.52) |
16.42 (2.09) |
17.12 (2.01) |
16.26 (2.41) |
Percent unemployed | −1.61 (−0.71) |
1−4.08 (−2.07) |
−1.15 (−0.71) |
1−2.19 (−1.78) |
1−1.91 (−2.07) |
1 −1.71 (−1.70) |
−0.38 (−0.34) |
Average annual temperature |
1−0.57 (−1.78) |
1−0.53 (−1.90) |
1−0.79 (−2.31) |
2−0.77 (−2.82) |
2−0.65 (−2.60) |
1−0.65 (−2.31) |
1−0.56 (−2.20) |
Home health visits per 1,000 population | −106.78 (−1.58) |
−61.87 (−0.92) |
−53.96 (−1.02) |
−30.27 (−0.62) |
−41.76 (−1.21) |
−5.14 (−0.17) |
−19.39 (−0.78) |
Physicians per 1,000 population |
140.95 (2.13) |
14.80 (0.76) |
4.19 (0.25) |
10.32 (0.62) |
−6.19 (−0.40) |
−25.33 (−1.58) |
−17.30 (−1.11) |
Hospital occupancy | 0.50 (0.81) |
0.79 (1.29) |
0.09 (0.18) |
−0.33 (−0.58) |
0.54 (1.11) |
−0.32 (−0.70) |
−0.59 (−1.45) |
Hospital beds per 1,000 population |
212.35 (3.00) |
16.90 (2.06) |
18.23 (2.26) |
17.66 (2.24) |
14.71 (1.72) |
15.96 (1.93) |
28.08 (2.86) |
Nursing pay per employee |
2−1.35 (−3.22) |
2−1.65 (−3.86) |
2−1.29 (−2.59) |
2−1.41 (−3.24) |
1−0.86 (−2.22) |
−0.31 (−0.68) |
−0.04 (−0.12) |
Medicaid spend down | 2.68 (1.42) |
2.62 (1.47) |
1.35 (0.72) |
1.09 (0.70) |
0.28 (0.21) |
−0.81 (−0.58) |
−1.37 (−1.03) |
Intermediate care facility per diem rate | 0.55 (0.98) |
0.52 (1.20) |
0.17 (0.38) |
−0.56 (−1.53) |
−0.16 (−0.32) |
−0.32 (−1.18) |
|
N3 | 43 | 42 | 44 | 44 | 48 | 46 | 44 |
R2 | 2.610 | 1.639 | 2.522 | 2.624 | 2.628 | 2.549 | 2.604 |
Adiusted R2 | .488 | .507 | .358 | .494 | .515 | .403 | .467 |
Significant at the .05 level, one-tailed test; except two-tailed test for effect of intermediate care facility rates.
Significant at the .01 level, two-tailed test; except two-tailed test for effect of intermediate care facility rates.
Arizona has no institutional Medicaid program. The District of Columbia was excluded based on its disproportionate influence, as judged by Cook's D. Rate data missing for Indiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, and Ohio for 1979; for Nebraska, New Mexico, and Ohio for 1980.
NOTE: Numbers in parentheses are t-scores.
SOURCE: (Institute for Health and Aging, 1983 and 1986).