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. 1988 Summer;9(4):81–97.

Table 5. Regression analysis of nursing home bed stock: United States, 1978-84.

Coefficient and t-score for independent variable 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984
Intercept 27.02 27.21 62.17 83.23 82.69 1111.57 194.75
Percent of population 65 years of age or over −1.99
(−1.16)
−0.87
−(0.51)
0.30
(0.17)
0.49
(0.30)
−0.35
(−0.24)
0.22
(0.15)
0.56
(0.39)
Personal income per capita 3.72
(1.15)
17.75
(2.54)
16.80
(2.24)
4.86
(1.52)
16.42
(2.09)
17.12
(2.01)
16.26
(2.41)
Percent unemployed −1.61
(−0.71)
1−4.08
(−2.07)
−1.15
(−0.71)
1−2.19
(−1.78)
1−1.91
(−2.07)
1 −1.71
(−1.70)
−0.38
(−0.34)
Average annual temperature 1−0.57
(−1.78)
1−0.53
(−1.90)
1−0.79
(−2.31)
2−0.77
(−2.82)
2−0.65
(−2.60)
1−0.65
(−2.31)
1−0.56
(−2.20)
Home health visits per 1,000 population −106.78
(−1.58)
−61.87
(−0.92)
−53.96
(−1.02)
−30.27
(−0.62)
−41.76
(−1.21)
−5.14
(−0.17)
−19.39
(−0.78)
Physicians per 1,000 population 140.95
(2.13)
14.80
(0.76)
4.19
(0.25)
10.32
(0.62)
−6.19
(−0.40)
−25.33
(−1.58)
−17.30
(−1.11)
Hospital occupancy 0.50
(0.81)
0.79
(1.29)
0.09
(0.18)
−0.33
(−0.58)
0.54
(1.11)
−0.32
(−0.70)
−0.59
(−1.45)
Hospital beds per 1,000 population 212.35
(3.00)
16.90
(2.06)
18.23
(2.26)
17.66
(2.24)
14.71
(1.72)
15.96
(1.93)
28.08
(2.86)
Nursing pay per employee 2−1.35
(−3.22)
2−1.65
(−3.86)
2−1.29
(−2.59)
2−1.41
(−3.24)
1−0.86
(−2.22)
−0.31
(−0.68)
−0.04
(−0.12)
Medicaid spend down 2.68
(1.42)
2.62
(1.47)
1.35
(0.72)
1.09
(0.70)
0.28
(0.21)
−0.81
(−0.58)
−1.37
(−1.03)
Intermediate care facility per diem rate 0.55
(0.98)
0.52
(1.20)
0.17
(0.38)
−0.56
(−1.53)
−0.16
(−0.32)
−0.32
(−1.18)
N3 43 42 44 44 48 46 44
R2 2.610 1.639 2.522 2.624 2.628 2.549 2.604
Adiusted R2 .488 .507 .358 .494 .515 .403 .467
1

Significant at the .05 level, one-tailed test; except two-tailed test for effect of intermediate care facility rates.

2

Significant at the .01 level, two-tailed test; except two-tailed test for effect of intermediate care facility rates.

3

Arizona has no institutional Medicaid program. The District of Columbia was excluded based on its disproportionate influence, as judged by Cook's D. Rate data missing for Indiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, and Ohio for 1979; for Nebraska, New Mexico, and Ohio for 1980.

NOTE: Numbers in parentheses are t-scores.