Table 2. Summary of adjusted-R2s by percent for AAPCC Models 1-7, by sex1: 1984 and 1985.
| Model | Description | Full sample | Men | Women | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|||||
| 1984 | 1985 | 1984 | 1985 | 1984 | 1985 | ||
|
| |||||||
| Percent | |||||||
| Model 1 | AAPCC | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Model 2 | AAPCC + prior use | 6.0 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.6 |
| Model 3 | AAPCC + disability | 6.7 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 2.7 |
| Model 4 | AAPCC + risk factors | 4.9 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 9.1 |
| Model 5 | Model 2 + risk factors | 8.0 | 10.8 | 7.8 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| Model 6 | Model 5 + disability | 9.8 | 13.0 | 8.6 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 13.2 |
| Model 7 | Risk factors only | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 8.9 |
1
Results are based on least-squares regression analysis on logged weighted Medicare payments.
NOTE: AAPCC is average adjusted per capita cost.
SOURCE: The Framingham Study, Boston University; Health Care Financing Administration: Data from the Medicare Automated Data Retrieval System.