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. 1997 Winter;19(2):135–153.

Table 4. Logistic Model of PACE Enrollment.

Variable Unweighted Estimated Coefficient Marginal Weighted Estimated Coefficient Marginal
(Standard Error) Effects1 (Standard Error) Effects1
Sociodemographics
 Female 0.233
(0.156)
0.047 0.168
(0.158)
0.033
 Black -0.026
(0.179)
-0.005 0.166
(0.193)
0.033
 Hispanic -0.21
(0.252)
-0.042 0.003
(0.27)
0.00
 85 Years of Age or Older -0.074
(0.16)
-0.015 -0.083
(0.163)
-0.016
 Widowed 0.23
(0.154)
0.046 **0.349
(0.158)
0.069
 Fewer Than 12 Years of School *0.275
(0.15)
0.055 0.242
(0.149)
0.048
 Household Size 0.077
(0.057)
0.015 0.053
(0.06)
0.01
 Own Home **0.353
(0.158)
-0.071 ***-0.616
(0.165)
-0.122
 Medicaid Beneficiary 0.199
(0.171)
0.04 ***0.473
(0.182)
0.094
Familiar with Day Health Centers
 Usually Attends a Senior Day Center ***1.363
(0.25)
0.275 ***1.063
(0.201)
0.211
Current Care Arrangements
 Residential Informal Home Care -0.212
(0.203)
-0.043 *-0.337
(0.202)
0.067
 Non-Residential Informal Home Care -0.032
(0.142)
-0.006 -0.239
(0.147)
-0.047
 Daughter Shares Most Responsibilities -0.026
(0.151)
-0.005 -0.059
(0.157)
-0.012
 Has usual physician *-0.334
(0.179)
-0.067 -0.071
(0.175)
0.014
Satisfaction
 Dissatisfied with Quality of Medical Care 0.157
(0.229)
0.032 0.215
(0.237)
0.043
 Unlikely to be Willing to Change Providers ***-0.798
(0.187)
-0.161 ***-0.723
(0.178)
-0.143
Health and Functioning
 Report at least Good Health -0.13
(0.141)
-0.026 -0.059
(0.145)
-0.012
 Died Within 3 Months of Interview ***-1.070
(0.37)
-0.216 ***-1.296
(0.387)
-0.257
 Number of ADL Dependencies 0.00
(0.036)
0.00 -0.045
(0.038)
-0.009
 Number of IADL Dependencies **0.114
(0.045)
0.023 ***0.151
(0.045)
0.03
 Cognitively Impaired 0.016
(0.167)
0.003 -0.153
(0.18)
-0.03
Prior Utilization of Medical Care Services2
 Hospital Admission 0.043
(0.163)
-0.009 0.203
(0.167)
0.04
Nursing Home Admission 0.139
(0.207)
0.028 -0.017
(0.205)
-0.003
Medicare Reimbursements3
 Second Quartile -0.166
(0.203)
0.033 -0.17
(0.208)
-0.034
 Third Quartile -0.231
(0.216)
-0.047 *-0.402
(0.232)
-0.08
 Fourth Quartile **-0.591
(0.234)
-0.119 **-0.587
(0.246)
-0.116
In a Group Health Plan 0.254
(0.276)
-0.051 -0.234
(0.229)
-0.046
Time Trend **0.024
(0.01)
0.005 -0.00
(0.009)
-0.00
Site Effects
 Site 2 -0.402
(0.516)
-0.081 0.194
(0.38)
0.038
 Site 3 -0.519
(0.564)
-0.105 -0.305
(0.347)
-0.06
 Site 4 -0.254
(0.484)
-0.051 0.007
(0.356)
0.001
 Site 5 **-1.118
(0.478)
-0.226 ***-0.978
(0.333)
0.194
 Site 6 **-1.089
(0.487)
-0.22 ***-1.046
(0.323)
-0.208
 Site 7 -0.378
(0.531)
-0.076 -0.435
(0.406)
-0.086
 Site 8 -0.32
(0.601)
-0.065 -0.254
(0.333)
-0.05
 Site 9 -0.574
(0.528)
-0.116 -0.482
(0.367)
-0.096
 Site 10 -0.201
(0.503)
-0.04 -0.072
(0.387)
-0.014
 Site 11 -0.023
(0.566)
-0.005 -0.045
(0.449)
-0.009
Intercept 0.415
(0.572)
0.319
(0.451)
Log-Likelihood -696.987 -680.88
Number of Observations 1,261 1,261
Mean of Dependent Variable 0.693 0.693
*

Statistically significantly different from 0 at the 0.10 level.

**

Statistically significantly different from 0 at the 0.05 level.

***

Statistically significantly different from 0 at the 0.01 level.

1

The marginal effect for characteristic i is δi = Λ(β'x)(1-Λ(β'x))βi where Λ is the logistic cumulative distribution function and βi, is the estimated coefficient for characteristic i.

2

AII measures are based in the 6-month period prior to the interview. Service use is self-reported. Medicare reimbursements are from Medicare claims files.

3

First Quartile: $0 to $255.19. Second Quartile: $255.20 to $3,365.90. Third Quartile: $3,365.91 to $14,349.40. Fourth Quartile: $14,349.41 to $138,115.51.

NOTE: PACE is Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly.

SOURCE: PACE Applicant Survey, January 1995 - February 1997.