Table 4. Logistic Model of PACE Enrollment.
Variable | Unweighted Estimated Coefficient Marginal | Weighted Estimated Coefficient Marginal | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
(Standard Error) | Effects1 | (Standard Error) | Effects1 | |
Sociodemographics | ||||
Female | 0.233 (0.156) |
0.047 | 0.168 (0.158) |
0.033 |
Black | -0.026 (0.179) |
-0.005 | 0.166 (0.193) |
0.033 |
Hispanic | -0.21 (0.252) |
-0.042 | 0.003 (0.27) |
0.00 |
85 Years of Age or Older | -0.074 (0.16) |
-0.015 | -0.083 (0.163) |
-0.016 |
Widowed | 0.23 (0.154) |
0.046 |
**0.349 (0.158) |
0.069 |
Fewer Than 12 Years of School |
*0.275 (0.15) |
0.055 | 0.242 (0.149) |
0.048 |
Household Size | 0.077 (0.057) |
0.015 | 0.053 (0.06) |
0.01 |
Own Home |
**0.353 (0.158) |
-0.071 |
***-0.616 (0.165) |
-0.122 |
Medicaid Beneficiary | 0.199 (0.171) |
0.04 |
***0.473 (0.182) |
0.094 |
Familiar with Day Health Centers | ||||
Usually Attends a Senior Day Center |
***1.363 (0.25) |
0.275 |
***1.063 (0.201) |
0.211 |
Current Care Arrangements | ||||
Residential Informal Home Care | -0.212 (0.203) |
-0.043 |
*-0.337 (0.202) |
0.067 |
Non-Residential Informal Home Care | -0.032 (0.142) |
-0.006 | -0.239 (0.147) |
-0.047 |
Daughter Shares Most Responsibilities | -0.026 (0.151) |
-0.005 | -0.059 (0.157) |
-0.012 |
Has usual physician |
*-0.334 (0.179) |
-0.067 | -0.071 (0.175) |
0.014 |
Satisfaction | ||||
Dissatisfied with Quality of Medical Care | 0.157 (0.229) |
0.032 | 0.215 (0.237) |
0.043 |
Unlikely to be Willing to Change Providers |
***-0.798 (0.187) |
-0.161 |
***-0.723 (0.178) |
-0.143 |
Health and Functioning | ||||
Report at least Good Health | -0.13 (0.141) |
-0.026 | -0.059 (0.145) |
-0.012 |
Died Within 3 Months of Interview |
***-1.070 (0.37) |
-0.216 |
***-1.296 (0.387) |
-0.257 |
Number of ADL Dependencies | 0.00 (0.036) |
0.00 | -0.045 (0.038) |
-0.009 |
Number of IADL Dependencies |
**0.114 (0.045) |
0.023 |
***0.151 (0.045) |
0.03 |
Cognitively Impaired | 0.016 (0.167) |
0.003 | -0.153 (0.18) |
-0.03 |
Prior Utilization of Medical Care Services2 | ||||
Hospital Admission | 0.043 (0.163) |
-0.009 | 0.203 (0.167) |
0.04 |
Nursing Home Admission | 0.139 (0.207) |
0.028 | -0.017 (0.205) |
-0.003 |
Medicare Reimbursements3 | ||||
Second Quartile | -0.166 (0.203) |
0.033 | -0.17 (0.208) |
-0.034 |
Third Quartile | -0.231 (0.216) |
-0.047 |
*-0.402 (0.232) |
-0.08 |
Fourth Quartile |
**-0.591 (0.234) |
-0.119 |
**-0.587 (0.246) |
-0.116 |
In a Group Health Plan | 0.254 (0.276) |
-0.051 | -0.234 (0.229) |
-0.046 |
Time Trend |
**0.024 (0.01) |
0.005 | -0.00 (0.009) |
-0.00 |
Site Effects | ||||
Site 2 | -0.402 (0.516) |
-0.081 | 0.194 (0.38) |
0.038 |
Site 3 | -0.519 (0.564) |
-0.105 | -0.305 (0.347) |
-0.06 |
Site 4 | -0.254 (0.484) |
-0.051 | 0.007 (0.356) |
0.001 |
Site 5 |
**-1.118 (0.478) |
-0.226 |
***-0.978 (0.333) |
0.194 |
Site 6 |
**-1.089 (0.487) |
-0.22 |
***-1.046 (0.323) |
-0.208 |
Site 7 | -0.378 (0.531) |
-0.076 | -0.435 (0.406) |
-0.086 |
Site 8 | -0.32 (0.601) |
-0.065 | -0.254 (0.333) |
-0.05 |
Site 9 | -0.574 (0.528) |
-0.116 | -0.482 (0.367) |
-0.096 |
Site 10 | -0.201 (0.503) |
-0.04 | -0.072 (0.387) |
-0.014 |
Site 11 | -0.023 (0.566) |
-0.005 | -0.045 (0.449) |
-0.009 |
Intercept | 0.415 (0.572) |
0.319 (0.451) |
||
Log-Likelihood | -696.987 | -680.88 | ||
Number of Observations | 1,261 | 1,261 | ||
Mean of Dependent Variable | 0.693 | 0.693 |
Statistically significantly different from 0 at the 0.10 level.
Statistically significantly different from 0 at the 0.05 level.
Statistically significantly different from 0 at the 0.01 level.
The marginal effect for characteristic i is δi = Λ(β'x)(1-Λ(β'x))βi where Λ is the logistic cumulative distribution function and βi, is the estimated coefficient for characteristic i.
AII measures are based in the 6-month period prior to the interview. Service use is self-reported. Medicare reimbursements are from Medicare claims files.
First Quartile: $0 to $255.19. Second Quartile: $255.20 to $3,365.90. Third Quartile: $3,365.91 to $14,349.40. Fourth Quartile: $14,349.41 to $138,115.51.
NOTE: PACE is Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly.
SOURCE: PACE Applicant Survey, January 1995 - February 1997.