Table 3.
Variable description | Base-case input | Range for sensitivity analysis |
Uncertainty distribution | Source(s) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
minimum | maximum | ||||
Excess LOS in general ward for index infection (days) | 19.32 | 16.64 | 22.20 | γ (SD = 1.42) | Hospital Episode Statistics, data on file |
Excess LOS in general ward for a recurrence (days) | 12.24 | 9.83 | 14.91 | γ (SD = 1.30) | Hospital Episode Statistics, data on file |
Patients hospitalized in ICU for index infection (%) | 0.077 | 0 | 0.08 | β (n = 2341; N = 30 265) | Hospital Episode Statistics, data on file; Scottish clinical expert panel |
Patients hospitalized in ICU for a recurrence (%) | 0.077 | 0 | 0.08 | β (n = 2341; N = 30 265) | Hospital Episode Statistics, data on file; Scottish clinical expert panel |
Patients hospitalized in isolated infectious diseases ward (%) | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | none | Scottish clinical expert panel |
Patients hospitalized in isolated infectious diseases ward for a recurrence (%) | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | none | Scottish clinical expert panel |
Probability that a non-severe recurrence within 30 days of the previous episode is treated in hospital | 0.67 | 0.50 | 1 | β (n = 20; N = 30) | Hospital Episode Statistics, data on file |
Probability that a severe recurrence after 30 days of the previous episode is treated in hospital | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | β (n = 41; N = 336) | Scottish clinical expert panel |
n, number of patients; N, total number of patients.