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. 2014 Oct 14;11(10):e1001744. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001744

Table 1. Key items to guide the framing of the review aim, search strategy, and study inclusion and exclusion criteria.

Item Comments and examples
1. Prognostic versus diagnostic prediction model Define whether the aim is to review models to predict:
• Future events: prognostic prediction models
• Current (disease) status: diagnostic prediction models
2. Intended scope of the review Define intended scope of the review and intended purpose of the models reviewed in it. Examples:
• Models to inform physicians' therapeutic decision making
• Models to inform referral to or withholding from invasive diagnostic testing
3. Type of prediction modelling studies (see also Box 1 ) Define the type of prediction modelling studies to include. Examples of study types (Box 1):
• Prediction model development without external validation in independent data
• Prediction model development with external validation in independent data
• External model validation, possibly with model updating
4. Target population to whom the prediction model applies Define the target population relevant to the review scope. Examples:
• Women with diagnosed breast cancer
• Healthy adult men in the general population
5. Outcome to be predicted Define the outcome of interest to be predicted:
• Specific future event, such as a fatal or non-fatal coronary heart disease
• Specific diagnostic target disease, such as presence of lung embolism
6. Time span of prediction Define over what specific time period the outcome is predicted (prognostic models only). Example:
• Event within a specific time interval, such as event within 3 months, 1 year, or 10 years
7. Intended moment of using the model The systematic review may focus on models to be used at a specific moment in time. Examples:
• Models to be used at the moment of diagnosis of a particular disease
• Models to be used preoperatively to predict the risk of postoperative complications
• Models to be used in asymptomatic adults to detect undiagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus