Table A.3.

Baseline characteristics predictive of subsequent migration in 2001-03, by sex and type of migration (Multiple logistic regression models with robust standard errors and 99% CI)

	I. Out-migration of residents						II. In-migration of non-residents						III. Internal migration of residents
	Adult females			Adult males			Adult females			Adult males			Adult females			Adult males
	OR	99% CI		OR	99% CI		OR	99% CI		OR	99% CI		OR	99% CI		OR	99% CI
INDIVIDUAL CHARACTERISTICS
Age group quantile
18-22
23-28	1.01	0.82	1.24	0.91	0.74	1.12	0.84	0.68	1.04	0.85	0.68	1.06	0.97	0.65	1.44	1.11	0.62	2.00
29-37	0.63	0.49	0.82	0.48	0.37	0.62	0.66	0.50	0.85	0.63	0.48	0.81	0.98	0.62	1.55	0.71	0.35	1.46
38-50	0.30	0.22	0.41	0.36	0.27	0.49	0.59	0.43	0.81	0.47	0.34	0.66	0.38	0.21	0.70	0.46	0.18	1.17
Over age 50	0.13	0.09	0.18	0.16	0.10	0.24	0.64	0.43	0.95	0.69	0.47	1.00	0.20	0.10	0.38	0.25	0.08	0.80
Partnership pattern
No current marital partner
Currently married	0.42	0.31	0.56	0.64	0.47	0.88	1.09	0.81	1.47	1.04	0.79	1.38	0.36	0.21	0.62	1.03	0.42	2.52
Employment status
Unemployed
Full or part-time employment	0.97	0.80	1.19	0.94	0.78	1.15	0.72	0.59	0.88	0.54	0.45	0.66	0.97	0.67	1.40	2.00	1.19	3.36
Education level
None - Standard 5
Standard 6-9	1.05	0.85	1.29	1.12	0.92	1.38	0.85	0.68	1.06	0.84	0.69	1.03	0.98	0.67	1.44	1.29	0.72	2.33
≥Standard 10 (Matric)	1.27	1.00	1.61	1.18	0.93	1.50	0.98	0.77	1.23	0.75	0.60	0.94	0.93	0.58	1.47	0.64	0.29	1.42
Parenthood
Not a parent to children in household
Parent to children	0.59	0.48	0.73	0.91	0.69	1.19	1.07	0.87	1.31	1.30	1.00	1.68	0.81	0.56	1.16	0.87	0.41	1.84
HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS
Household dependency ratio	0.92	0.81	1.03	0.96	0.85	1.09	1.02	0.91	1.14	1.05	0.93	1.19	0.93	0.76	1.13	0.93	0.63	1.36
Sum of adults employed full-time	1.04	0.98	1.10	1.02	0.96	1.09	0.98	0.92	1.04	0.99	0.94	1.05	0.97	0.87	1.09	1.06	0.88	1.26
Water source: Other Piped (private/public)	1.06	0.88	1.26	0.93	0.78	1.11	1.06	0.89	1.28	1.04	0.87	1.24	0.86	0.62	1.18	0.86	0.51	1.45
Sanitation: Other/none Flush toilet/VIP	1.04	0.79	1.36	0.88	0.65	1.18	1.24	0.91	1.68	1.00	0.74	1.37	1.07	0.60	1.91	1.08	0.44	2.62
Electricity: No source Electricity source (grid/generator)	0.85	0.71	1.02	0.66	0.55	0.79	1.01	0.84	1.22	1.21	1.00	1.46	0.70	0.50	0.98	0.98	0.57	1.70
Quantiles of assets
Lower tertile of assets Middle tertile of assets	0.86	0.69	1.06	1.08	0.89	1.33	1.11	0.89	1.38	0.96	0.77	1.20	0.88	0.62	1.26	0.98	0.54	1.75
Higher tertile of assets	1.02	0.81	1.29	1.11	0.88	1.40	1.09	0.85	1.39	1.17	0.92	1.48	0.88	0.57	1.36	0.66	0.33	1.32
Pension-eligible adults: None1 or more males or both sexes	0.99	0.75	1.32	0.85	0.64	1.11	0.87	0.65	1.16	0.86	0.65	1.12	1.05	0.67	1.65	1.23	0.59	2.57
1 or more females only	0.96	0.78	1.17	0.87	0.72	1.06	0.98	0.80	1.19	1.01	0.83	1.23	0.87	0.61	1.24	1.31	0.76	2.26
Death of ≥1 adults before 1st migration	1.57	1.18	2.11	0.89	0.67	1.18	1.54	1.16	2.04	1.71	1.28	2.28	9.01	5.33	15.26	23.65	12.14	46.09
N	14,193			9,356			8,241			9,303			14,193			9,356
Wald χ2 (19)	955.8			584.8			119.1			265.9			337.5			212

Source: ACDIS. Data are for population aged 18 and older who were members of households on 01 January 2001. Models using unweighted data shown.