Table 1.
Posterior mean, median and 95% credible intervals for parameters in the model for the transmission of SBV between NUTS2 regions assuming a density-dependent kernel.
| Parameter | Mean | Median | 95% Credible limit |
DIC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | ||||
| Fat-tailed kernel | |||||
| Transmission parameter (β) | 1.1 × 10−8 | 9.5 × 10−9 | 3.7 × 10−9 | 2.4 × 10−8 | 1175.2 |
| Kernel parameter (α) | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 4.5 | |
| Kernel parameter (d0) | 48.7 | 48.2 | 35.4 | 65.5 | |
| Gaussian kernel | |||||
| Transmission parameter (β) | 1.5 × 10−10 | 1.4 × 10−10 | 9.0 × 10−11 | 2.3 × 10−10 | 1260.5 |
| Kernel parameter (α) | 4.2 × 10−3 | 4.2 × 10−3 | 3.6 × 10−3 | 4.9 × 10−3 | |
| Exponential kernel | |||||
| Transmission parameter (β) | 2.5 × 10−9 | 2.3 × 10−9 | 1.1 × 10−9 | 4.8 × 10−9 | 1218.0 |
| Kernel parameter (α) | 1.8 × 10−2 | 1.8 × 10−2 | 1.4 × 10−2 | 2.2 × 10−2 | |