Table 3.
Adjusted Multivariable Analysis Showing Risk Factors for Unplanned Hospitalization
| Variable | Coefficient | Hazard Ratio | 95% CI | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years (v 66-69) | ||||
| 70-74 | 0.04 | 1.04 | 1.00 to 1.09 | .058 |
| 75-79 | 0.06 | 1.07 | 1.02 to 1.12 | .006 |
| ≥ 80 | 0.11 | 1.12 | 1.07 to 1.17 | < .001 |
| Sex: F (v M) | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 to 1.06 | .073 |
| Race (v white) | ||||
| Hispanic | 0.01 | 1.01 | 0.95 to 1.08 | .689 |
| Black | 0.07 | 1.07 | 1.02 to 1.13 | .007 |
| American Indian | −0.22 | 0.80 | 0.53 to 1.22 | .295 |
| Other | −0.05 | 0.95 | 0.85 to 1.05 | .323 |
| Cancer type (v colon) | ||||
| Esophageal | 0.13 | 1.14 | 1.07 to 1.22 | < .001 |
| Liver or intrahepatic ductal | 0.02 | 1.02 | 0.96 to 1.08 | .517 |
| Pancreatic | 0.07 | 1.08 | 1.03 to 1.13 | .001 |
| Anorectal | −0.03 | 0.97 | 0.93 to 1.01 | .171 |
| Gastric | 0.13 | 1.14 | 1.08 to 1.20 | < .001 |
| Disease stage (v localized) | ||||
| Regional | 0.23 | 1.26 | 1.22 to 1.31 | < .001 |
| Distant | 0.29 | 1.34 | 1.28 to 1.40 | < .001 |
| Unknown | 0.02 | 1.02 | 0.97 to 1.08 | .384 |
| Area of residence* (v big metropolis) | ||||
| Metropolis | −0.04 | 0.97 | 0.93 to 1.00 | .059 |
| Urban | 0.04 | 1.04 | 0.98 to 1.10 | .201 |
| Urban less | −0.01 | 0.99 | 0.95 to 1.04 | .762 |
| Rural | −0.01 | 0.99 | 0.89 to 1.10 | .817 |
| Census tract poverty level† (v Q1) | ||||
| Q2 | 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.96 to 1.05 | .972 |
| Q3 | 0.05 | 1.05 | 1.00 to 1.10 | .043 |
| Q4 | 0.08 | 1.08 | 1.03 to 1.14 | < .001 |
| Charlson comorbidity index (v 0) | ||||
| 1 | 0.16 | 1.17 | 1.13 to 1.22 | < .001 |
| 2 | 0.25 | 1.30 | 1.22 to 1.35 | < .001 |
| ≥ 3 | 0.42 | 1.52 | 1.44 to 1.60 | < .001 |
| State buy in‡ (v none) | 0.12 | 1.13 | 1.09 to 1.18 | < .001 |
Abbreviation: Q, quartile.
Big metropolis, population ≥ 1,000,000; metropolis, population of < 250,000 to 1,000,000; urban, population of ≥ 20,000; urban less, population of 2,500 to 19,999; rural, population < 2,500.
Percentage of people living below the poverty line in the patient's census tract: Q1, 0.00%-7.48%; Q2, 7.49%-13.30%; Q3, 13.31%-21.04%; Q4, ≥ 21.05%.
State buy-in variable is used to determine dual eligibility of patients for both Medicare and Medicaid.