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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Oct 29.
Published in final edited form as: Eur Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 2009 Jan 22;18(5):284–291. doi: 10.1007/s00787-008-0729-1

Table 1.

Predictive validity: Comparison of children with and without a CD diagnosis at 5 years of age on outcome measures at age 10

Child functioning at age 10 Age 5 diagnostic grouping
Group difference Effect size
Children with CD (N = 184) Children without CD (N = 1954)a
Behavioural outcomes
 Mother’s report M (SD) M (SD) t (df)b d c
  Attention deficit hyperactivity (ADHD) symptom scale 14.8 (8.2) 8.0 (6.9) 9.55 (1068)*** 0.89
  Aggression scale 15.4 (8.7) 7.2 (6.0) 11.23 (1068)*** 1.10
  Delinquency scale 4.0 (3.3) 1.5 (1.9) 9.50 (1068)*** 0.93
  Emotional problem scale 9.7 (7.6) 6.2 (5.2) 5.43 (1068)*** 0.54
  Prosocial behaviour scale 15.0 (3.6) 17.2 (2.7) 7.55 (1068)*** 0.70
 Teacher’s report
  ADHD symptom scale 6.9 (8.1) 3.3 (5.5) 4.98 (990)*** 0.52
  Aggression scale 9.3 (10.2) 3.6 (6.6) 6.70 (991)*** 0.67
  Delinquency scale 1.8 (2.5) 0.6 (1.4) 5.86 (989)*** 0.62
  Emotional problem scale 5.5 (6.2) 4.8 (5.7) 1.36 (991) 0.13
  Prosocial behaviour scale 11.9 (4.9) 14.1 (4.6) 4.77 (982)*** 0.47
N (%) N (%) Odds ratio (95% CI)
Received treatment for behavioural/emotional problems 65 (36.2) 286 (14.3) 3.4 (2.3, 5.1)*** 0.68
Educational outcomes
 Special education service use 53 (27.3) 244 (11.6) 2.9 (1.9, 4.4)*** 0.59
 Standard reading score below average or poor 62 (30.1) 335 (15.0) 2.4 (1.6, 3.7)*** 0.48
 English school performance below average 83 (47.3) 512 (25.8) 2.6 (1.7, 3.8)*** 0.53
 Math school performance below average 73 (43.3) 465 (23.9) 2.4 (1.7, 3.5)*** 0.48
M (SD) M (SD) t (df)
Teacher’s effort scale 16.4 (9.1) 11.3 (7.8) 6.30 (989)*** 0.60
a

Five CD children and 89 comparison children were missing parent data at age 10; an additional 21 CD and 191 comparison children were missing teacher data at age 10. Ns are unweighted; proportions are weighted to represent the population of British families

b

Continuous variables were analysed with t-tests and their degrees-of-freedom (df) and categorical variables with odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI). Standard errors, 95% CIs, and test statistics include adjustments for the dependence in the data due to analyzing two children in the same family [39]. Thus, degrees-of-freedom are based on number of families rather than number of children

c

Differences between groups can be interpreted in terms of standard deviation units (d), where d = 0.2 is considered a small effect size, d = 0.5 is a medium effect size, and d = 0.8 is a large effect size [8]

***

P ≤ 0.001