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. 2014 Nov;20(11):1803–1811. doi: 10.3201/eid2011.130632

Table 1. Estimates of absolute excess mortality rates attributable to pandemic influenza across 24 provinces of Chile, 1918–1921* .

Province† Pandemic period, no. excess deaths/10,000 population
Cumulative absolute excess mortality rate
Jul 1918–Mar 1919 Jun 1919–Mar 1920 Nov 1920–Mar 1921 Jun 1921–Dec 1921
Tacna 8.8 64.8 0.0 0.0 73.6
Tarapacá 14.3 0.0 10.5 0.0 24.8
Antofagasta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Atacama 27.0 27.5 0.0 42.3 96.8
Coquimbo 0.0 59.2 0.0 38.3 97.5
Aconcagua 0.0 44.6 0.0 0.0 44.6
Valparaiso 20.6 36.5 0.0 0.0 57.1
Santiago 48.0 57.9 0.0 99.7 205.6
O’ Higgins 15.1 37.4 8.0 0.0 60.5
Colchagua 12.7 57.6 0.0 0.0 70.3
Curicó 9.7 44.5 0.0 0.0 54.2
Talca 0.0 53.0 0.0 0.0 53
Maule 0.0 56.8 0.0 0.0 56.8
Linares‡ 0.0 25.6 0.0 0.0 25.6
Niuble 7.2 70.0 0.0 0.0 77.2
Concepción 0.0 57.0 0.0 0.0 57
Arauco 0.0 41.0 8.5 0.0 49.5
Bio-Bio 0.0 125.2 0.0 0.0 125.2
Malleco 0.0 76.6 0.0 0.0 76.6
Cautin 6.4 52.6 0.0 0.0 59
Valdivia 0.0 56.7 11.2 30.0 97.9
Llanquihue 7.6 80.2 0.0 36.3 124.1
Chiloé 0.0 84.1 0.0 62.3 146.4
Magallanes 21.8 18.9 0.0 46.0 86.7
Total Chile 13.6 54.4 1.4 24.5 93.9

*Excess mortality estimates were based on a seasonal regression model applied to monthly deaths. 
†Provinces are sorted in geographic order from northern to southern Chile.
‡Model baseline to estimate excess deaths excluded the high-death months of Sep 1917–Mar 1918.