Table 1. Unit root tests.
RUR | FB RUR | LS (1 break) | LS (2 breaks) | |
( : unit root) | ( : unit root) | ( : unit root) | ( : unit root) | |
Unemployment | 1.34 | 1.85 | −3.26 [1997M4] | −4.06[1996M4,2008M8] |
Initial Claims | 0.85* | 1.07* | −3.94[2007M9] | −5.22[1992M11,200810] |
GI Food Stamps | 1.60 | 2.94* | −4.53*[2008M7] | −5.60*[2006M8,2008M8] |
GI Jobs | 1.17* | 1.58 | −5.52*[2007M4] | −6.48*[2007M3,2009M9] |
Food Stamps | 5.16* | 7.86* | −3.10[1998M10] | −3.72[1992M5,1999M3] |
Periodic u.r. test - Sample: 1988–2011 | Periodic u.r. test – Sample: 2008–2011 | |||
1nd step (LR stat.) | 2nd step (p-value) | 1nd step (LR stat.) | 2nd step (p-value) | |
: periodic u.r. | : non periodic u.r. | : periodic u.r. | : non periodic u.r. | |
Unemployment | 0.02 | 0.00 | 31.55* | / |
Initial Claims | 15.05* | / | 3.94* | / |
GI Food Stamps | NA | NA | 1.41 | 0.01 |
GI Jobs | NA | NA | 6.46* | / |
Food Stamps | 20.20* | / | 8.06* | / |
Unit root tests: RUR = Range Unit Root test by [33]; FB = Forward-Backward RUR test by [33]; LS = unit root test with breaks by [32] - the estimated break dates are reported in brackets. The second step for the periodic unit root tests by [35] and [34] is performed only if the first step did not reject the null hypothesis of a periodic unit root. P-values smaller than 0.05 are in bold font. * Significant at the 5%, level.