Table 1. Posterior estimates of the covariate coefficient vector β of the linear model (Eq. 1) testing the effects of multiple covariates on the presence of white-pox disease on coral colonies of Acropora palmata monitored monthly from February 2003 to December 2009.

Fixed effects	Mean	Standard deviation	2.5% quantile	50% quantile	97.5% quantile	Mode
Intercept	−3.29	0.25	−3.79	−3.29	−2.83	−3.28
Northing	0.29	0.83	−1.32	0.29	1.89	0.28
Easting	0.44	0.81	−1.14	0.43	2.05	0.42
Colony size	0.30	0.09	0.12	0.30	0.47	0.30
Previous incidences	0.93	0.13	0.68	0.93	1.17	0.94
Distance	−0.13	0.14	−0.41	−0.12	0.14	−0.12
Previous distance	−0.07	0.06	−0.19	−0.07	0.04	−0.07
Water temperature	0.43	0.07	0.29	0.43	0.58	0.43
Solar insolation	0.02	0.07	−0.12	0.02	0.16	0.01

The 8 covariates were: (i) easting; (ii) northing; (iii) colony size; (iv) previous incidences of disease; (v) distance to nearest neighbor; (vi) distance to previously infected colony; (vii) water temperature; and (viii) solar insolation. Significant covariates are those with correlation coefficients that do not cross 0 within the 2.5 and 97.5% quantile. Rows that are bold indicate significant differences. Positive and negative values represent the directional relationship between the covariate and disease presence.