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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Apr 15.
Published in final edited form as: Stat Med. 2013 Nov 20;33(8):1395–1408. doi: 10.1002/sim.6039

Table III. Simulation Results for Bayesian Hidden Markov Model without Cluster-Effect.

Coverage # (Total=100) Average Mean Average Median Average SD Mean Bias Median Bias True Value
Prevalence probability:
a1 0 -1.50 -1.50 0.13 0.70 0.70 -2.2
α1 96 0.06 0.06 0.13 0.04 0.04 0.1
Transition probability:
a2 25 -3.24 -3.24 0.13 0.36 0.36 -3.6
a3 8 6.03 6.03 0.23 0.63 0.63 5.4
α2 97 0.04 0.04 0.15 0.06 0.06 0.1
α3 100 0.14 0.14 0.23 0.06 0.06 0.2
Misclassification probability:
b1 95 -4.06 -4.05 0.17 0.14 0.15 -4.2
b2 95 5.32 5.32 0.19 0.18 0.18 5.5
λ1 100 -0.08 -0.08 0.24 0.02 0.02 -0.1
λ2 98 1.81 1.81 0.32 0.19 0.19 2