Table 3.

Top 15 candidate models predicting the square root transform of the identified tuck rate (), ranked by their AIC_c values, and rated by their ΔAIC_c values (Δ_i) and Akaike weights (w_i). The 95% confidence set, defined as the smallest set of models whose Akaike weights w_i sum to ≥0.95, contains the top four models. mean local wind speed on the ridge; standard deviation of local wind speed on the ridge; interaction between mean and standard deviation of local wind speed on the ridge; mean flight altitude; r, ridge height; mean MIDAS wind speed.

model parameters	AICc	Δi	wi
	−90.556	0.000	0.612
	−88.242	2.314	0.192
	−87.285	3.271	0.119
	−84.460	6.096	0.029
	−83.993	6.563	0.023
	−81.914	8.642	0.008
	−81.315	9.241	0.006
	−79.901	10.655	0.003
	−79.648	10.908	0.003
	−78.598	11.958	0.002
	−77.446	13.110	0.001
	−77.155	13.401	0.001
	−77.062	13.494	0.001
	−76.213	14.343	0.000
	−74.484	16.072	0.000