Table 1.
Parameter | Prior Distribution | Posterior Mean (SD) | 95% Credible Interval | |
---|---|---|---|---|
a | N(0, 1002) | 78.05 (2.30) | (73.67, 82.62) | |
b | Gamma(0.1, 0.1) | 2.11 (0.33) | (1.49, 2.80) | |
c | Gamma(0.1, 0.1) | 0.40 (0.15) | (0.19, 0.62) | |
θa | Normal(0, 1000) | −2.77 (1.63) | (−5.98, 0.39) | |
θb | Normal(0, 1000) | 4.82 (3.13) | (0.29, 13.05) | |
θc | Normal(0, 1000) | 0.05 (0.03) | (−0.02, 0.11) | |
δa | Normal(0, 1000) | 6.35 (3.31) | (0.04, 12.95) | |
δb | Normal(0, 1000) | −0.34 (0.56) | (−1.30, 0.99) | |
δc | Normal(0, 1000) | −0.19 (0.22) | (−0.57, 0.13) | |
νa | Normal(0, 1000) | 0.42 (2.83) | (−5.16, 6.04) | |
νb | Normal(0, 1000) | 14.73 (13.88) | (−0.81, 49.52) | |
νc | Normal(0, 1000) | −0.28 (0.12) | (−0.52, −0.06) | |
|
IG(0.01, 0.01) | 105.30 (9.43) | (88.30, 125.30) | |
|
IG(0.01, 0.01) | 62.84 (8.20) | (48.44, 80.78) | |
|
IG(0.01, 0.01) | 33.72 (18.29) | (7.94, 79.08) | |
|
IG(0.01, 0.01) | 1.23 (0.54) | (0.40, 2.49) | |
|
IG(0.01, 0.01) | 0.17 (0.06) | (0.07, 0.31) |