Table 5. Predicting Binary Choice from Anticipated-SWB and Attribute Questions.
| (1) Preferred program rates higher (Correct-prediction rate) |
(2) The two programs have same rating |
(3) Preferred program rates lower |
(4) Conditional correct-prediction rate |
(5) # Pairwise program comparisons |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happiness during residency | 52% | 27% | 21% | 71% | 3240 |
| Life satisfaction during residency | 59% | 23% | 18% | 77% | 3244 |
| Ladder | 65% | 18% | 17% | 80% | 3245 |
| Residency prestige and status | 56% | 16% | 28% | 67% | 3244 |
| Social life during residency | 52% | 20% | 28% | 65% | 3247 |
| Desirability of location | 61% | 14% | 25% | 71% | 3241 |
| Anxiety during residency | 38% | 29% | 33% | 53% | 3236 |
| Worthwhile life during residency | 44% | 40% | 16% | 73% | 3235 |
| Stress during residency | 40% | 26% | 34% | 54% | 3236 |
| Future career prospects | 49% | 30% | 21% | 70% | 3247 |
| Control over life | 40% | 30% | 30% | 57% | 3235 |
| Desirable for significant other | 65% | 16% | 19% | 77% | 2087 |
|
| |||||
| Average happiness in first 10 years | 34% | 53% | 13% | 72% | 1603 |
| Average happiness in rest of career | 28% | 56% | 16% | 64% | 1603 |
| Average happiness after retirement | 22% | 64% | 14% | 62% | 1605 |
|
| |||||
| 4-period-happiness index | 62% | 10% | 28% | 69% | 1592 |
| 3-SWB-measure index | 75% | 3% | 22% | 77% | 3233 |
| 6-SWB-question index | 76% | 2% | 22% | 78% | 1588 |
| 12-question index (3 SWB + 9 attribute) | 81% | 0% | 19% | 81% | 3179 |
| 15-question index (6 SWB + 9 attribute) | 82% | 0% | 18% | 82% | 1566 |
Notes: Based on only the ordinal ranking of the variable in each row. All six binary comparisons among the top four programs are considered. Columns 1–3 sum to 100 percent in each row. Column 4 reports the correct prediction rate in cases where a prediction is made; that is, excluding cases of indifference (column 2). Column 5 reports sample size.